Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced comfortably from Washington’s August 2026 primary against Republican challengers, reflecting the district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her consistent general-election margins in prior cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.3 percent implied probability because the seat’s suburban Seattle and Cascade foothills electorate has favored Democrats in recent House races, with limited crossover support for Republican candidates. The top Republican received under 16 percent in the primary, underscoring organizational and fundraising gaps. Only a major late-cycle scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could realistically reopen the race before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,246 交易量
$15,246 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$15,246 交易量
$15,246 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,445 交易量
95%
共和党
$6,801 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced comfortably from Washington’s August 2026 primary against Republican challengers, reflecting the district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her consistent general-election margins in prior cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.3 percent implied probability because the seat’s suburban Seattle and Cascade foothills electorate has favored Democrats in recent House races, with limited crossover support for Republican candidates. The top Republican received under 16 percent in the primary, underscoring organizational and fundraising gaps. Only a major late-cycle scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could realistically reopen the race before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$15,246结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced comfortably from Washington’s August 2026 primary against Republican challengers, reflecting the district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her consistent general-election margins in prior cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.3 percent implied probability because the seat’s suburban Seattle and Cascade foothills electorate has favored Democrats in recent House races, with limited crossover support for Republican candidates. The top Republican received under 16 percent in the primary, underscoring organizational and fundraising gaps. Only a major late-cycle scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could realistically reopen the race before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,246结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced comfortably from Washington’s August 2026 primary against Republican challengers, reflecting the district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her consistent general-election margins in prior cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.3 percent implied probability because the seat’s suburban Seattle and Cascade foothills electorate has favored Democrats in recent House races, with limited crossover support for Republican candidates. The top Republican received under 16 percent in the primary, underscoring organizational and fundraising gaps. Only a major late-cycle scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could realistically reopen the race before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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