Emily Randall, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, enters the 2026 cycle in Washington's 6th congressional district with a commanding position that aligns with the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The top-two primary on August 4, 2026, features limited Republican opposition, and historical voting patterns plus the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce trader expectations for a Democratic hold. Key factors sustaining this outlook include the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House races, along with the filing deadline having passed without major challengers emerging. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset, a national political wave favoring Republicans, or late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or scandals, though these remain low-probability events given current structural advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$1,098 交易量
92%
共和党
$868 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Emily Randall, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, enters the 2026 cycle in Washington's 6th congressional district with a commanding position that aligns with the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The top-two primary on August 4, 2026, features limited Republican opposition, and historical voting patterns plus the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce trader expectations for a Democratic hold. Key factors sustaining this outlook include the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House races, along with the filing deadline having passed without major challengers emerging. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset, a national political wave favoring Republicans, or late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or scandals, though these remain low-probability events given current structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$1,966结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Emily Randall, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, enters the 2026 cycle in Washington's 6th congressional district with a commanding position that aligns with the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The top-two primary on August 4, 2026, features limited Republican opposition, and historical voting patterns plus the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce trader expectations for a Democratic hold. Key factors sustaining this outlook include the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House races, along with the filing deadline having passed without major challengers emerging. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset, a national political wave favoring Republicans, or late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or scandals, though these remain low-probability events given current structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,966结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Emily Randall, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, enters the 2026 cycle in Washington's 6th congressional district with a commanding position that aligns with the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The top-two primary on August 4, 2026, features limited Republican opposition, and historical voting patterns plus the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce trader expectations for a Democratic hold. Key factors sustaining this outlook include the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House races, along with the filing deadline having passed without major challengers emerging. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset, a national political wave favoring Republicans, or late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or scandals, though these remain low-probability events given current structural advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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