Washington's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent federal elections. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, first elected in 2024 with over 60 percent of the vote, holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. Early polling, including a May Tavern Research survey showing him ahead of leading Democratic challengers, aligns with the seat's baseline. Multiple Democratic and independent candidates have filed, yet the field remains fragmented without coordinated national support or major endorsements that would shift the outlook. Cook Political Report and other analysts rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the structural advantages that underpin trader consensus on Republican retention of the seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,937 交易量
$14,937 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
66%
民主党
27%
$14,937 交易量
$14,937 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,104 交易量
66%
民主党
$7,833 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent federal elections. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, first elected in 2024 with over 60 percent of the vote, holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. Early polling, including a May Tavern Research survey showing him ahead of leading Democratic challengers, aligns with the seat's baseline. Multiple Democratic and independent candidates have filed, yet the field remains fragmented without coordinated national support or major endorsements that would shift the outlook. Cook Political Report and other analysts rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the structural advantages that underpin trader consensus on Republican retention of the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$14,937结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent federal elections. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, first elected in 2024 with over 60 percent of the vote, holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. Early polling, including a May Tavern Research survey showing him ahead of leading Democratic challengers, aligns with the seat's baseline. Multiple Democratic and independent candidates have filed, yet the field remains fragmented without coordinated national support or major endorsements that would shift the outlook. Cook Political Report and other analysts rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the structural advantages that underpin trader consensus on Republican retention of the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,937结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent federal elections. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, first elected in 2024 with over 60 percent of the vote, holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. Early polling, including a May Tavern Research survey showing him ahead of leading Democratic challengers, aligns with the seat's baseline. Multiple Democratic and independent candidates have filed, yet the field remains fragmented without coordinated national support or major endorsements that would shift the outlook. Cook Political Report and other analysts rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the structural advantages that underpin trader consensus on Republican retention of the seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题