Washington's 5th congressional district, covering eastern areas including Spokane, maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who won the seat in 2024 following Cathy McMorris Rodgers' retirement, benefits from the district's voting history and fundraising edge. Recent May polling showed Baumgartner ahead of leading Democratic challengers by modest margins in head-to-head scenarios. The August 4 top-two primary has now concluded, narrowing the field for the November general election. The Cook Political Report rates the race Safe Republican, consistent with historical patterns where the GOP has held the seat through multiple cycles despite occasional closer contests. No major late developments have altered the baseline partisan dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,931 交易量
$32,931 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
31%
$32,931 交易量
$32,931 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$12,776 交易量
70%
民主党
$20,155 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district, covering eastern areas including Spokane, maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who won the seat in 2024 following Cathy McMorris Rodgers' retirement, benefits from the district's voting history and fundraising edge. Recent May polling showed Baumgartner ahead of leading Democratic challengers by modest margins in head-to-head scenarios. The August 4 top-two primary has now concluded, narrowing the field for the November general election. The Cook Political Report rates the race Safe Republican, consistent with historical patterns where the GOP has held the seat through multiple cycles despite occasional closer contests. No major late developments have altered the baseline partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district, covering eastern areas including Spokane, maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who won the seat in 2024 following Cathy McMorris Rodgers' retirement, benefits from the district's voting history and fundraising edge. Recent May polling showed Baumgartner ahead of leading Democratic challengers by modest margins in head-to-head scenarios. The August 4 top-two primary has now concluded, narrowing the field for the November general election. The Cook Political Report rates the race Safe Republican, consistent with historical patterns where the GOP has held the seat through multiple cycles despite occasional closer contests. No major late developments have altered the baseline partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 5th congressional district, covering eastern areas including Spokane, maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who won the seat in 2024 following Cathy McMorris Rodgers' retirement, benefits from the district's voting history and fundraising edge. Recent May polling showed Baumgartner ahead of leading Democratic challengers by modest margins in head-to-head scenarios. The August 4 top-two primary has now concluded, narrowing the field for the November general election. The Cook Political Report rates the race Safe Republican, consistent with historical patterns where the GOP has held the seat through multiple cycles despite occasional closer contests. No major late developments have altered the baseline partisan dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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