Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a structural edge in Washington's 5th congressional district, a moderately Republican-leaning area covering eastern Washington including Spokane. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index, and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Baumgartner advanced easily through the August 4 top-two primary, while earlier Tavern Research polling showed him leading Democratic contenders by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors, combined with the seat's recent election history and the absence of major late-cycle shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over the Democratic alternative.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,563 交易量
$32,563 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
65%
民主党
31%
$32,563 交易量
$32,563 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$12,456 交易量
65%
民主党
$20,107 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a structural edge in Washington's 5th congressional district, a moderately Republican-leaning area covering eastern Washington including Spokane. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index, and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Baumgartner advanced easily through the August 4 top-two primary, while earlier Tavern Research polling showed him leading Democratic contenders by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors, combined with the seat's recent election history and the absence of major late-cycle shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over the Democratic alternative.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,563结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a structural edge in Washington's 5th congressional district, a moderately Republican-leaning area covering eastern Washington including Spokane. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index, and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Baumgartner advanced easily through the August 4 top-two primary, while earlier Tavern Research polling showed him leading Democratic contenders by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors, combined with the seat's recent election history and the absence of major late-cycle shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over the Democratic alternative.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,563结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a structural edge in Washington's 5th congressional district, a moderately Republican-leaning area covering eastern Washington including Spokane. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index, and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Baumgartner advanced easily through the August 4 top-two primary, while earlier Tavern Research polling showed him leading Democratic contenders by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors, combined with the seat's recent election history and the absence of major late-cycle shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over the Democratic alternative.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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