Arizona's 6th congressional district features incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani seeking a third term against Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat rates as a toss-up or lean Democratic among major forecasters, with the district holding an even partisan voter index and delivering narrow margins in the 2022 and 2024 cycles. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly 3 points, including a June survey placing her at 47% to Ciscomani's 45%. Primaries concluded July 21 with both candidates advancing, leaving a head-to-head matchup in a battleground area that split nearly evenly in the prior presidential contest. Midterm dynamics, combined with the district's swing character and the challenger's consistent polling edge, underpin trader assessments favoring a Democratic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
83%
共和党
18%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,889 交易量
83%
共和党
$6,032 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district features incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani seeking a third term against Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat rates as a toss-up or lean Democratic among major forecasters, with the district holding an even partisan voter index and delivering narrow margins in the 2022 and 2024 cycles. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly 3 points, including a June survey placing her at 47% to Ciscomani's 45%. Primaries concluded July 21 with both candidates advancing, leaving a head-to-head matchup in a battleground area that split nearly evenly in the prior presidential contest. Midterm dynamics, combined with the district's swing character and the challenger's consistent polling edge, underpin trader assessments favoring a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$9,921结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district features incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani seeking a third term against Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat rates as a toss-up or lean Democratic among major forecasters, with the district holding an even partisan voter index and delivering narrow margins in the 2022 and 2024 cycles. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly 3 points, including a June survey placing her at 47% to Ciscomani's 45%. Primaries concluded July 21 with both candidates advancing, leaving a head-to-head matchup in a battleground area that split nearly evenly in the prior presidential contest. Midterm dynamics, combined with the district's swing character and the challenger's consistent polling edge, underpin trader assessments favoring a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,921结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 6th congressional district features incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani seeking a third term against Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat rates as a toss-up or lean Democratic among major forecasters, with the district holding an even partisan voter index and delivering narrow margins in the 2022 and 2024 cycles. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly 3 points, including a June survey placing her at 47% to Ciscomani's 45%. Primaries concluded July 21 with both candidates advancing, leaving a head-to-head matchup in a battleground area that split nearly evenly in the prior presidential contest. Midterm dynamics, combined with the district's swing character and the challenger's consistent polling edge, underpin trader assessments favoring a Democratic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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