Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 36th Congressional District House seat due to its status as a solidly Democratic stronghold in the coastal South Bay area of Los Angeles, anchored by incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's unblemished reelection record and dominant fundraising position exceeding $1.4 million. Lieu, seeking a sixth term, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where he is positioned to advance unchallenged against token challengers, reflecting the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration advantage and history of landslide margins. Recent candidate questionnaires and quiet campaign filings underscore the lack of competitive dynamics. Scenarios to shift odds include a surprise primary upset, Lieu scandal, or extraordinary national Republican midterm wave overwhelming CA-36's entrenched liberal lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,296 交易量
94%
共和党
$4,386 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 36th Congressional District House seat due to its status as a solidly Democratic stronghold in the coastal South Bay area of Los Angeles, anchored by incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's unblemished reelection record and dominant fundraising position exceeding $1.4 million. Lieu, seeking a sixth term, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where he is positioned to advance unchallenged against token challengers, reflecting the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration advantage and history of landslide margins. Recent candidate questionnaires and quiet campaign filings underscore the lack of competitive dynamics. Scenarios to shift odds include a surprise primary upset, Lieu scandal, or extraordinary national Republican midterm wave overwhelming CA-36's entrenched liberal lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$9,683结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 36th Congressional District House seat due to its status as a solidly Democratic stronghold in the coastal South Bay area of Los Angeles, anchored by incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's unblemished reelection record and dominant fundraising position exceeding $1.4 million. Lieu, seeking a sixth term, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where he is positioned to advance unchallenged against token challengers, reflecting the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration advantage and history of landslide margins. Recent candidate questionnaires and quiet campaign filings underscore the lack of competitive dynamics. Scenarios to shift odds include a surprise primary upset, Lieu scandal, or extraordinary national Republican midterm wave overwhelming CA-36's entrenched liberal lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,683结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 36th Congressional District House seat due to its status as a solidly Democratic stronghold in the coastal South Bay area of Los Angeles, anchored by incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's unblemished reelection record and dominant fundraising position exceeding $1.4 million. Lieu, seeking a sixth term, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where he is positioned to advance unchallenged against token challengers, reflecting the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration advantage and history of landslide margins. Recent candidate questionnaires and quiet campaign filings underscore the lack of competitive dynamics. Scenarios to shift odds include a surprise primary upset, Lieu scandal, or extraordinary national Republican midterm wave overwhelming CA-36's entrenched liberal lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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