California’s 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of West Los Angeles and the South Bay, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of D+21. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Lieu’s long tenure, leadership role, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce the current market pricing. A Democratic victory would require only standard turnout patterns; shifts capable of altering the outcome remain limited to late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,115 交易量
$12,115 交易量
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$12,115 交易量
$12,115 交易量
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of West Los Angeles and the South Bay, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of D+21. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Lieu’s long tenure, leadership role, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce the current market pricing. A Democratic victory would require only standard turnout patterns; shifts capable of altering the outcome remain limited to late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题