California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,993 交易量
$34,993 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$34,993 交易量
$34,993 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$6,049 交易量
95%
共和党
$28,944 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$34,993结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,993结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCalifornia's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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