Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida has reinforced FL-21's Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7, solidifying trader consensus at 85% for a GOP House winner. Incumbent Brian Mast (R), who won 62% in 2024, launched his re-election campaign in late April amid the new map and faces no Republican primary opposition on August 18. Leading Democratic primary contender Pia Dandiya has raised over $1.5 million but trails Mast's $2.5 million cash on hand. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and others reflect the Treasure Coast district's fundamentals, Mast's incumbency advantage, and statewide generic ballot trends favoring Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
85%
民主党
15%
共和党
85%
民主党
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida has reinforced FL-21's Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7, solidifying trader consensus at 85% for a GOP House winner. Incumbent Brian Mast (R), who won 62% in 2024, launched his re-election campaign in late April amid the new map and faces no Republican primary opposition on August 18. Leading Democratic primary contender Pia Dandiya has raised over $1.5 million but trails Mast's $2.5 million cash on hand. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and others reflect the Treasure Coast district's fundamentals, Mast's incumbency advantage, and statewide generic ballot trends favoring Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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