Republican incumbent Brian Mast holds a strong position in Florida's 21st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+7 and delivered Mast a 61.8% victory in 2024. His Republican primary was canceled, locking in his nomination, while the Democratic primary on August 18 features limited challengers and no indication of a high-profile contender capable of shifting the race. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt and the structural advantages of incumbency. Trader consensus in the prediction market assigns an 86.5% implied probability to the Republican nominee, consistent with these baseline factors and the absence of recent events that would alter the competitive landscape before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,068 交易量
87%
民主党
$3,454 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Mast holds a strong position in Florida's 21st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+7 and delivered Mast a 61.8% victory in 2024. His Republican primary was canceled, locking in his nomination, while the Democratic primary on August 18 features limited challengers and no indication of a high-profile contender capable of shifting the race. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt and the structural advantages of incumbency. Trader consensus in the prediction market assigns an 86.5% implied probability to the Republican nominee, consistent with these baseline factors and the absence of recent events that would alter the competitive landscape before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$8,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Mast holds a strong position in Florida's 21st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+7 and delivered Mast a 61.8% victory in 2024. His Republican primary was canceled, locking in his nomination, while the Democratic primary on August 18 features limited challengers and no indication of a high-profile contender capable of shifting the race. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt and the structural advantages of incumbency. Trader consensus in the prediction market assigns an 86.5% implied probability to the Republican nominee, consistent with these baseline factors and the absence of recent events that would alter the competitive landscape before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brian Mast holds a strong position in Florida's 21st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+7 and delivered Mast a 61.8% victory in 2024. His Republican primary was canceled, locking in his nomination, while the Democratic primary on August 18 features limited challengers and no indication of a high-profile contender capable of shifting the race. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt and the structural advantages of incumbency. Trader consensus in the prediction market assigns an 86.5% implied probability to the Republican nominee, consistent with these baseline factors and the absence of recent events that would alter the competitive landscape before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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