The strong Republican tilt of Florida's 3rd Congressional District, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points and consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around the Republican nominee prevailing in November. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest, while a crowded Democratic field including multiple challengers is expected to split support in its own primary on the same date. Nonpartisan ratings from sources such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solidly Republican, with no recent polling or campaign developments indicating a viable path for Democrats to close the gap in this cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,417 交易量
$11,417 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
$11,417 交易量
$11,417 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,096 交易量
88%
民主党
$4,321 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Florida's 3rd Congressional District, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points and consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around the Republican nominee prevailing in November. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest, while a crowded Democratic field including multiple challengers is expected to split support in its own primary on the same date. Nonpartisan ratings from sources such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solidly Republican, with no recent polling or campaign developments indicating a viable path for Democrats to close the gap in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,417结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Florida's 3rd Congressional District, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points and consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around the Republican nominee prevailing in November. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest, while a crowded Democratic field including multiple challengers is expected to split support in its own primary on the same date. Nonpartisan ratings from sources such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solidly Republican, with no recent polling or campaign developments indicating a viable path for Democrats to close the gap in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,417结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Florida's 3rd Congressional District, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points and consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around the Republican nominee prevailing in November. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest, while a crowded Democratic field including multiple challengers is expected to split support in its own primary on the same date. Nonpartisan ratings from sources such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solidly Republican, with no recent polling or campaign developments indicating a viable path for Democrats to close the gap in this cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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