Incumbent Democrat André Carson’s entrenched position in Indiana’s 7th district, which covers most of Indianapolis in Marion County and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 95.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee. Carson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Republican Patrick McAuley maintains minimal fundraising and organizational support in a seat rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. A national Republican wave, late personal or ethical developments involving Carson, or unusually strong GOP turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3, 2026, general election, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,093 交易量
$20,093 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
6%
$20,093 交易量
$20,093 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$7,947 交易量
96%
共和党
$12,145 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson’s entrenched position in Indiana’s 7th district, which covers most of Indianapolis in Marion County and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 95.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee. Carson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Republican Patrick McAuley maintains minimal fundraising and organizational support in a seat rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. A national Republican wave, late personal or ethical developments involving Carson, or unusually strong GOP turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3, 2026, general election, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$20,093结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson’s entrenched position in Indiana’s 7th district, which covers most of Indianapolis in Marion County and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 95.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee. Carson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Republican Patrick McAuley maintains minimal fundraising and organizational support in a seat rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. A national Republican wave, late personal or ethical developments involving Carson, or unusually strong GOP turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3, 2026, general election, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,093结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat André Carson’s entrenched position in Indiana’s 7th district, which covers most of Indianapolis in Marion County and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 95.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee. Carson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Republican Patrick McAuley maintains minimal fundraising and organizational support in a seat rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. A national Republican wave, late personal or ethical developments involving Carson, or unusually strong GOP turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3, 2026, general election, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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