Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's bid for re-election in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, rated D+30 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Raskin's history of landslide wins, including 94% in 2022, combined with the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration edge in Montgomery County and no credible Republican challengers filed to date, solidifies this positioning. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Raskin scandal or health issue, or recruitment of a high-profile GOP nominee amid a national Republican wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,356 交易量
$14,356 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$14,356 交易量
$14,356 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,416 交易量
94%
共和党
$7,939 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's bid for re-election in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, rated D+30 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Raskin's history of landslide wins, including 94% in 2022, combined with the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration edge in Montgomery County and no credible Republican challengers filed to date, solidifies this positioning. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Raskin scandal or health issue, or recruitment of a high-profile GOP nominee amid a national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,356结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's bid for re-election in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, rated D+30 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Raskin's history of landslide wins, including 94% in 2022, combined with the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration edge in Montgomery County and no credible Republican challengers filed to date, solidifies this positioning. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Raskin scandal or health issue, or recruitment of a high-profile GOP nominee amid a national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,356结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's bid for re-election in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, rated D+30 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Raskin's history of landslide wins, including 94% in 2022, combined with the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration edge in Montgomery County and no credible Republican challengers filed to date, solidifies this positioning. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Raskin scandal or health issue, or recruitment of a high-profile GOP nominee amid a national Republican wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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