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icon for 俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度

俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度

icon for 俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度

俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度

马泽伊15-20% 52%

马泽伊 20-25% 52%

Drummond 25%+ 48%

Drummond 15-20% 48%

Polymarket
最新

马泽伊15-20% 52%

马泽伊 20-25% 52%

Drummond 25%+ 48%

Drummond 15-20% 48%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Drummond 25%+

Drummond 25%+

$35 交易量

48%

icon for Drummond 20-25%

Drummond 20-25%

$35 交易量

47%

icon for Drummond 15-20%

Drummond 15-20%

$35 交易量

48%

icon for Drummond 10–15%

Drummond 10–15%

$10 交易量

20%

icon for Drummond 5-10%

Drummond 5-10%

$0 交易量

24%

icon for Drummond <5%

Drummond <5%

$0 交易量

12%

icon for 麦兹 <5%

麦兹 <5%

$0 交易量

21%

icon for 马泽伊 5-10%

马泽伊 5-10%

$0 交易量

24%

icon for 马泽伊10-15%

马泽伊10-15%

$0 交易量

46%

icon for 马泽伊15-20%

马泽伊15-20%

$25 交易量

52%

icon for 马泽伊 20-25%

马泽伊 20-25%

$25 交易量

52%

icon for 马泽伊 25%+

马泽伊 25%+

$25 交易量

48%

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Oklahoma's Republican gubernatorial primary runoff pits Attorney General Gentner Drummond against former state senator and budget secretary Mike Mazzei on August 25, after they finished nearly tied at roughly 26% each in the June primary amid a crowded field. Recent polling shows the contest essentially deadlocked, with one survey giving Mazzei a six-point edge and another showing Drummond ahead by two, reflecting closely matched voter bases in a state where the GOP nominee faces a weak general-election opponent. Trump's endorsement of Mazzei, record outside spending by both campaigns, and overlapping appeals to core Republican constituencies have kept the race tight without a decisive break. Trader pricing across narrow margin buckets signals uncertainty over turnout, late persuasion efforts, or any final attacks that could shift a small bloc of undecided or crossover primary voters and produce separation by election night.

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$190
结束日期
2026-08-25
市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Oklahoma's Republican gubernatorial primary runoff pits Attorney General Gentner Drummond against former state senator and budget secretary Mike Mazzei on August 25, after they finished nearly tied at roughly 26% each in the June primary amid a crowded field. Recent polling shows the contest essentially deadlocked, with one survey giving Mazzei a six-point edge and another showing Drummond ahead by two, reflecting closely matched voter bases in a state where the GOP nominee faces a weak general-election opponent. Trump's endorsement of Mazzei, record outside spending by both campaigns, and overlapping appeals to core Republican constituencies have kept the race tight without a decisive break. Trader pricing across narrow margin buckets signals uncertainty over turnout, late persuasion efforts, or any final attacks that could shift a small bloc of undecided or crossover primary voters and produce separation by election night.

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$190
结束日期
2026-08-25
市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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"俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"马泽伊10-15%",概率为 46%,其次是"马泽伊15-20%",概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 20, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度"的当前领先者是"马泽伊10-15%",概率为 46%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"马泽伊15-20%",概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"俄克拉荷马州共和党州长初选决选胜利幅度"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。