Oklahoma's Republican gubernatorial primary runoff pits Attorney General Gentner Drummond against former state senator and budget secretary Mike Mazzei on August 25, after they finished nearly tied at roughly 26% each in the June primary amid a crowded field. Recent polling shows the contest essentially deadlocked, with one survey giving Mazzei a six-point edge and another showing Drummond ahead by two, reflecting closely matched voter bases in a state where the GOP nominee faces a weak general-election opponent. Trump's endorsement of Mazzei, record outside spending by both campaigns, and overlapping appeals to core Republican constituencies have kept the race tight without a decisive break. Trader pricing across narrow margin buckets signals uncertainty over turnout, late persuasion efforts, or any final attacks that could shift a small bloc of undecided or crossover primary voters and produce separation by election night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马泽伊15-20% 52%
马泽伊 20-25% 52%
Drummond 25%+ 48%
Drummond 15-20% 48%

Drummond 25%+
48%

Drummond 20-25%
47%

Drummond 15-20%
48%

Drummond 10–15%
20%

Drummond 5-10%
24%

Drummond <5%
12%

麦兹 <5%
21%

马泽伊 5-10%
24%

马泽伊10-15%
46%

马泽伊15-20%
52%

马泽伊 20-25%
52%

马泽伊 25%+
48%
马泽伊15-20% 52%
马泽伊 20-25% 52%
Drummond 25%+ 48%
Drummond 15-20% 48%

Drummond 25%+
48%

Drummond 20-25%
47%

Drummond 15-20%
48%

Drummond 10–15%
20%

Drummond 5-10%
24%

Drummond <5%
12%

麦兹 <5%
21%

马泽伊 5-10%
24%

马泽伊10-15%
46%

马泽伊15-20%
52%

马泽伊 20-25%
52%

马泽伊 25%+
48%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oklahoma's Republican gubernatorial primary runoff pits Attorney General Gentner Drummond against former state senator and budget secretary Mike Mazzei on August 25, after they finished nearly tied at roughly 26% each in the June primary amid a crowded field. Recent polling shows the contest essentially deadlocked, with one survey giving Mazzei a six-point edge and another showing Drummond ahead by two, reflecting closely matched voter bases in a state where the GOP nominee faces a weak general-election opponent. Trump's endorsement of Mazzei, record outside spending by both campaigns, and overlapping appeals to core Republican constituencies have kept the race tight without a decisive break. Trader pricing across narrow margin buckets signals uncertainty over turnout, late persuasion efforts, or any final attacks that could shift a small bloc of undecided or crossover primary voters and produce separation by election night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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