Recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst polls show incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton by 14–28 points among likely Democratic primary voters two weeks before the September 1 primary. This positioning reflects Markey’s established progressive record and incumbency advantages in a heavily Democratic state, alongside Moulton’s emphasis on generational change and congressional age limits that have not shifted voter preferences in recent surveys. The final debate on August 20 highlighted these contrasts without altering the trajectory. Traders price various Markey margins of 10–30 points and Moulton under 5 points as leading outcomes because the polling average points to a decisive yet not landslide result, with limited time left for Moulton to close the gap before votes are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马基25-30% 32%
马基20-25% 32%
马基15-20% 31%
马基10-15% 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
马基40%+
25%
马基 35–40%
24%
马基 30–35%
26%
马基25-30%
32%
马基20-25%
32%
马基15-20%
31%
马基10-15%
28%
马基5–10%
22%
马基小于5%
22%
莫尔顿 <5%
28%
莫尔顿5%+
10%
马基25-30% 32%
马基20-25% 32%
马基15-20% 31%
马基10-15% 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
马基40%+
$16 交易量
25%
马基 35–40%
$16 交易量
24%
马基 30–35%
$16 交易量
26%
马基25-30%
$16 交易量
32%
马基20-25%
$16 交易量
32%
马基15-20%
$16 交易量
31%
马基10-15%
$16 交易量
28%
马基5–10%
$16 交易量
22%
马基小于5%
$16 交易量
22%
莫尔顿 <5%
$16 交易量
28%
莫尔顿5%+
$101 交易量
10%
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst polls show incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton by 14–28 points among likely Democratic primary voters two weeks before the September 1 primary. This positioning reflects Markey’s established progressive record and incumbency advantages in a heavily Democratic state, alongside Moulton’s emphasis on generational change and congressional age limits that have not shifted voter preferences in recent surveys. The final debate on August 20 highlighted these contrasts without altering the trajectory. Traders price various Markey margins of 10–30 points and Moulton under 5 points as leading outcomes because the polling average points to a decisive yet not landslide result, with limited time left for Moulton to close the gap before votes are cast.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$261结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst polls show incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton by 14–28 points among likely Democratic primary voters two weeks before the September 1 primary. This positioning reflects Markey’s established progressive record and incumbency advantages in a heavily Democratic state, alongside Moulton’s emphasis on generational change and congressional age limits that have not shifted voter preferences in recent surveys. The final debate on August 20 highlighted these contrasts without altering the trajectory. Traders price various Markey margins of 10–30 points and Moulton under 5 points as leading outcomes because the polling average points to a decisive yet not landslide result, with limited time left for Moulton to close the gap before votes are cast.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$261结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst polls show incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton by 14–28 points among likely Democratic primary voters two weeks before the September 1 primary. This positioning reflects Markey’s established progressive record and incumbency advantages in a heavily Democratic state, alongside Moulton’s emphasis on generational change and congressional age limits that have not shifted voter preferences in recent surveys. The final debate on August 20 highlighted these contrasts without altering the trajectory. Traders price various Markey margins of 10–30 points and Moulton under 5 points as leading outcomes because the polling average points to a decisive yet not landslide result, with limited time left for Moulton to close the gap before votes are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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