Alabama's 7th Congressional District, a Black-majority seat long held by Democratic incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell since 2010, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's entrenched partisan lean and her unchallenged path through the May 19 primary. Recent Supreme Court rulings three days ago halted a federal mandate preserving two majority-Black districts, enabling Alabama lawmakers to pursue new maps amid mid-decade redistricting litigation, introducing boundary uncertainty for Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7 ahead of potential August special elections. Despite this flux, no credible Republican challenger has qualified or gained traction, with historical Cook Political ratings deeming the race Solid Democratic and Sewell's fundraising dominance reinforcing the status quo. General election looms November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,171 交易量
$26,171 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
78%
共和党
20%
$26,171 交易量
$26,171 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$15,823 交易量
78%
共和党
$10,348 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 7th Congressional District, a Black-majority seat long held by Democratic incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell since 2010, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's entrenched partisan lean and her unchallenged path through the May 19 primary. Recent Supreme Court rulings three days ago halted a federal mandate preserving two majority-Black districts, enabling Alabama lawmakers to pursue new maps amid mid-decade redistricting litigation, introducing boundary uncertainty for Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7 ahead of potential August special elections. Despite this flux, no credible Republican challenger has qualified or gained traction, with historical Cook Political ratings deeming the race Solid Democratic and Sewell's fundraising dominance reinforcing the status quo. General election looms November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,171结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 7th Congressional District, a Black-majority seat long held by Democratic incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell since 2010, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's entrenched partisan lean and her unchallenged path through the May 19 primary. Recent Supreme Court rulings three days ago halted a federal mandate preserving two majority-Black districts, enabling Alabama lawmakers to pursue new maps amid mid-decade redistricting litigation, introducing boundary uncertainty for Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7 ahead of potential August special elections. Despite this flux, no credible Republican challenger has qualified or gained traction, with historical Cook Political ratings deeming the race Solid Democratic and Sewell's fundraising dominance reinforcing the status quo. General election looms November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,171结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 7th Congressional District, a Black-majority seat long held by Democratic incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell since 2010, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's entrenched partisan lean and her unchallenged path through the May 19 primary. Recent Supreme Court rulings three days ago halted a federal mandate preserving two majority-Black districts, enabling Alabama lawmakers to pursue new maps amid mid-decade redistricting litigation, introducing boundary uncertainty for Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7 ahead of potential August special elections. Despite this flux, no credible Republican challenger has qualified or gained traction, with historical Cook Political ratings deeming the race Solid Democratic and Sewell's fundraising dominance reinforcing the status quo. General election looms November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题