Nebraska's 2nd congressional district became an open seat after long-serving Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted against reelection. The district's partisan lean favors Democrats, as shown by Kamala Harris carrying it by five points in the prior presidential contest. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination following a competitive primary, while Brinker Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the general election as Lean Democratic, citing the retirement effect, local voting patterns, and early polling trends. Trader consensus in the prediction market reflects these structural advantages for Democrats heading into the November 2026 ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,238 交易量
$37,238 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
80%
共和党
13%
$37,238 交易量
$37,238 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$32,405 交易量
80%
共和党
$4,833 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska's 2nd congressional district became an open seat after long-serving Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted against reelection. The district's partisan lean favors Democrats, as shown by Kamala Harris carrying it by five points in the prior presidential contest. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination following a competitive primary, while Brinker Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the general election as Lean Democratic, citing the retirement effect, local voting patterns, and early polling trends. Trader consensus in the prediction market reflects these structural advantages for Democrats heading into the November 2026 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
交易量
$37,238结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska's 2nd congressional district became an open seat after long-serving Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted against reelection. The district's partisan lean favors Democrats, as shown by Kamala Harris carrying it by five points in the prior presidential contest. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination following a competitive primary, while Brinker Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the general election as Lean Democratic, citing the retirement effect, local voting patterns, and early polling trends. Trader consensus in the prediction market reflects these structural advantages for Democrats heading into the November 2026 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,238结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nebraska's 2nd congressional district became an open seat after long-serving Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted against reelection. The district's partisan lean favors Democrats, as shown by Kamala Harris carrying it by five points in the prior presidential contest. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination following a competitive primary, while Brinker Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the general election as Lean Democratic, citing the retirement effect, local voting patterns, and early polling trends. Trader consensus in the prediction market reflects these structural advantages for Democrats heading into the November 2026 ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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