Incumbent Republican Mike Flood holds a clear edge in Nebraska's 1st congressional district, a seat with a Cook PVI leaning Republican by 6 points where he previously won by double digits. Traders price his victory at 75 percent, reflecting the district's partisan baseline, his incumbency since 2022, and a substantial fundraising lead of roughly $2.8 million raised compared with Democrat Chris Backemeyer's $1.2 million. Recent polling shows a tighter contest, including one survey placing Flood at 46 percent to Backemeyer's 45 percent, yet forecasters continue to rate the race Likely Republican. Early voting is underway ahead of the November 3 general election, with minor-party candidates also on the ballot.