Illinois's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+19, has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, including Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 68%-32% win in 2024 before her retirement. Daniel Biss clinched the Democratic nomination on March 17 in a crowded 16-candidate primary, earning 29% amid strong local name recognition as former state senator and Evanston mayor, positioning him favorably against Republican nominee John Elleson. Absent recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to indicate competitiveness, traders reflect 93.5% implied probability on a Democratic hold through the November 3 general election. Upsets would require a Republican midterm wave, Biss scandal, or turnout anomalies, though historical base rates favor the partisan lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,745 交易量
$15,745 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$15,745 交易量
$15,745 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,092 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,653 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+19, has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, including Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 68%-32% win in 2024 before her retirement. Daniel Biss clinched the Democratic nomination on March 17 in a crowded 16-candidate primary, earning 29% amid strong local name recognition as former state senator and Evanston mayor, positioning him favorably against Republican nominee John Elleson. Absent recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to indicate competitiveness, traders reflect 93.5% implied probability on a Democratic hold through the November 3 general election. Upsets would require a Republican midterm wave, Biss scandal, or turnout anomalies, though historical base rates favor the partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$15,745结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+19, has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, including Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 68%-32% win in 2024 before her retirement. Daniel Biss clinched the Democratic nomination on March 17 in a crowded 16-candidate primary, earning 29% amid strong local name recognition as former state senator and Evanston mayor, positioning him favorably against Republican nominee John Elleson. Absent recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to indicate competitiveness, traders reflect 93.5% implied probability on a Democratic hold through the November 3 general election. Upsets would require a Republican midterm wave, Biss scandal, or turnout anomalies, though historical base rates favor the partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,745结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of D+19, has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, including Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 68%-32% win in 2024 before her retirement. Daniel Biss clinched the Democratic nomination on March 17 in a crowded 16-candidate primary, earning 29% amid strong local name recognition as former state senator and Evanston mayor, positioning him favorably against Republican nominee John Elleson. Absent recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to indicate competitiveness, traders reflect 93.5% implied probability on a Democratic hold through the November 3 general election. Upsets would require a Republican midterm wave, Biss scandal, or turnout anomalies, though historical base rates favor the partisan lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题