Recent primaries have set the November 3, 2026 general election field in Kansas, with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and Democrat Cindy Holscher facing Republican Ty Masterson in the open gubernatorial contest. Polling shows Marshall holding a narrow lead in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, yet the margin remains single digits and sensitive to turnout among suburban voters and independents. The gubernatorial matchup lacks extensive public surveys so far, creating uncertainty over whether Democrats can retain the office they have held since 2019 or if Republicans will reclaim it. These cross-office dynamics sustain balanced trader pricing between a Republican sweep and split outcomes, with separation likely to emerge from fall debate performances, fundraising reports, and any national political tailwinds affecting Kansas battlegrounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党横扫 50%
民主党赢州长，共和党赢参议员 24%
民主党横扫 15%
共和党赢得州长，民主党赢得参议院 5%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党横扫
50%
民主党赢州长，共和党赢参议员
29%
民主党横扫
15%
共和党赢得州长，民主党赢得参议院
5%
共和党横扫 50%
民主党赢州长，共和党赢参议员 24%
民主党横扫 15%
共和党赢得州长，民主党赢得参议院 5%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党横扫
$40 交易量
50%
民主党赢州长，共和党赢参议员
$28 交易量
29%
民主党横扫
$3 交易量
15%
共和党赢得州长，民主党赢得参议院
$14 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent primaries have set the November 3, 2026 general election field in Kansas, with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and Democrat Cindy Holscher facing Republican Ty Masterson in the open gubernatorial contest. Polling shows Marshall holding a narrow lead in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, yet the margin remains single digits and sensitive to turnout among suburban voters and independents. The gubernatorial matchup lacks extensive public surveys so far, creating uncertainty over whether Democrats can retain the office they have held since 2019 or if Republicans will reclaim it. These cross-office dynamics sustain balanced trader pricing between a Republican sweep and split outcomes, with separation likely to emerge from fall debate performances, fundraising reports, and any national political tailwinds affecting Kansas battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
交易量
$85结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent primaries have set the November 3, 2026 general election field in Kansas, with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and Democrat Cindy Holscher facing Republican Ty Masterson in the open gubernatorial contest. Polling shows Marshall holding a narrow lead in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, yet the margin remains single digits and sensitive to turnout among suburban voters and independents. The gubernatorial matchup lacks extensive public surveys so far, creating uncertainty over whether Democrats can retain the office they have held since 2019 or if Republicans will reclaim it. These cross-office dynamics sustain balanced trader pricing between a Republican sweep and split outcomes, with separation likely to emerge from fall debate performances, fundraising reports, and any national political tailwinds affecting Kansas battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$85结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primaries have set the November 3, 2026 general election field in Kansas, with Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and Democrat Cindy Holscher facing Republican Ty Masterson in the open gubernatorial contest. Polling shows Marshall holding a narrow lead in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, yet the margin remains single digits and sensitive to turnout among suburban voters and independents. The gubernatorial matchup lacks extensive public surveys so far, creating uncertainty over whether Democrats can retain the office they have held since 2019 or if Republicans will reclaim it. These cross-office dynamics sustain balanced trader pricing between a Republican sweep and split outcomes, with separation likely to emerge from fall debate performances, fundraising reports, and any national political tailwinds affecting Kansas battlegrounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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