North Dakota’s solidly Republican political environment anchors trader consensus around a Republican hold in the state’s at-large House district. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured a wide 2024 victory margin and has amassed substantial campaign resources ahead of the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. The Democratic field remains limited to repeat candidates such as Trygve Hammer, with no recent polling indicating meaningful competitiveness. Forecasters have assigned the seat a solid Republican rating, consistent with the district’s long-term partisan baseline. Only an unforeseen scandal, health development, or abrupt national shift capable of elevating Democratic turnout would realistically threaten the current positioning before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,290 交易量
$37,290 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$37,290 交易量
$37,290 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$22,422 交易量
96%
民主党
$14,868 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s solidly Republican political environment anchors trader consensus around a Republican hold in the state’s at-large House district. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured a wide 2024 victory margin and has amassed substantial campaign resources ahead of the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. The Democratic field remains limited to repeat candidates such as Trygve Hammer, with no recent polling indicating meaningful competitiveness. Forecasters have assigned the seat a solid Republican rating, consistent with the district’s long-term partisan baseline. Only an unforeseen scandal, health development, or abrupt national shift capable of elevating Democratic turnout would realistically threaten the current positioning before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$37,290结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s solidly Republican political environment anchors trader consensus around a Republican hold in the state’s at-large House district. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured a wide 2024 victory margin and has amassed substantial campaign resources ahead of the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. The Democratic field remains limited to repeat candidates such as Trygve Hammer, with no recent polling indicating meaningful competitiveness. Forecasters have assigned the seat a solid Republican rating, consistent with the district’s long-term partisan baseline. Only an unforeseen scandal, health development, or abrupt national shift capable of elevating Democratic turnout would realistically threaten the current positioning before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,290结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s solidly Republican political environment anchors trader consensus around a Republican hold in the state’s at-large House district. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured a wide 2024 victory margin and has amassed substantial campaign resources ahead of the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. The Democratic field remains limited to repeat candidates such as Trygve Hammer, with no recent polling indicating meaningful competitiveness. Forecasters have assigned the seat a solid Republican rating, consistent with the district’s long-term partisan baseline. Only an unforeseen scandal, health development, or abrupt national shift capable of elevating Democratic turnout would realistically threaten the current positioning before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题