Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota secured renomination without significant primary opposition following the June 23, 2026 primaries, while Democrat Chris Gallant emerged from a competitive Democratic contest. The district’s voter base, combined with LaLota’s 2024 general election margin and local name recognition, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% Republican probability. National generic ballot trends favoring Democrats have not materially altered local assessments, and no major developments in the past month have shifted positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,405 交易量
$41,405 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$41,405 交易量
$41,405 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,910 交易量
75%
民主党
$25,495 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota secured renomination without significant primary opposition following the June 23, 2026 primaries, while Democrat Chris Gallant emerged from a competitive Democratic contest. The district’s voter base, combined with LaLota’s 2024 general election margin and local name recognition, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% Republican probability. National generic ballot trends favoring Democrats have not materially altered local assessments, and no major developments in the past month have shifted positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$41,405结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota secured renomination without significant primary opposition following the June 23, 2026 primaries, while Democrat Chris Gallant emerged from a competitive Democratic contest. The district’s voter base, combined with LaLota’s 2024 general election margin and local name recognition, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% Republican probability. National generic ballot trends favoring Democrats have not materially altered local assessments, and no major developments in the past month have shifted positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,405结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota secured renomination without significant primary opposition following the June 23, 2026 primaries, while Democrat Chris Gallant emerged from a competitive Democratic contest. The district’s voter base, combined with LaLota’s 2024 general election margin and local name recognition, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% Republican probability. National generic ballot trends favoring Democrats have not materially altered local assessments, and no major developments in the past month have shifted positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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