Republican incumbent Nicholas LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 74.5 percent. The Long Island seat has carried a solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, consistent with LaLota’s prior victory margins and the district’s partisan lean. Democratic nominee Christopher Gallant secured his party’s nod in the June 23 primary, but limited polling and the absence of major recent shifts have kept the race non-competitive in most forecasts. Upcoming campaign developments, including fundraising reports and any late-cycle polling, remain the primary variables that could influence market probabilities before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,382 交易量
$41,382 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$41,382 交易量
$41,382 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,887 交易量
75%
民主党
$25,495 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nicholas LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 74.5 percent. The Long Island seat has carried a solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, consistent with LaLota’s prior victory margins and the district’s partisan lean. Democratic nominee Christopher Gallant secured his party’s nod in the June 23 primary, but limited polling and the absence of major recent shifts have kept the race non-competitive in most forecasts. Upcoming campaign developments, including fundraising reports and any late-cycle polling, remain the primary variables that could influence market probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$41,382结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nicholas LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 74.5 percent. The Long Island seat has carried a solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, consistent with LaLota’s prior victory margins and the district’s partisan lean. Democratic nominee Christopher Gallant secured his party’s nod in the June 23 primary, but limited polling and the absence of major recent shifts have kept the race non-competitive in most forecasts. Upcoming campaign developments, including fundraising reports and any late-cycle polling, remain the primary variables that could influence market probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,382结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nicholas LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 74.5 percent. The Long Island seat has carried a solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, consistent with LaLota’s prior victory margins and the district’s partisan lean. Democratic nominee Christopher Gallant secured his party’s nod in the June 23 primary, but limited polling and the absence of major recent shifts have kept the race non-competitive in most forecasts. Upcoming campaign developments, including fundraising reports and any late-cycle polling, remain the primary variables that could influence market probabilities before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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