Incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's unopposed path in the June 23 Republican primary, combined with his dominant fundraising—over $3 million cash on hand—positions the Republican Party as trader consensus favorite at 48% in this R+4 district, where he secured 55% in 2024 amid a narrow GOP House majority. Democratic Party odds at 23% reflect a fragmented five-candidate primary led modestly by Christopher Gallant, with no clear frontrunner or recent polls shifting sentiment, as Cook Political rates the seat Solid Republican and Democrats prioritize competitive targets elsewhere. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving probabilities tied to primary results and midterm national trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,232 交易量
$20,232 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
63%
民主党
26%
$20,232 交易量
$20,232 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,326 交易量
63%
民主党
$13,906 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's unopposed path in the June 23 Republican primary, combined with his dominant fundraising—over $3 million cash on hand—positions the Republican Party as trader consensus favorite at 48% in this R+4 district, where he secured 55% in 2024 amid a narrow GOP House majority. Democratic Party odds at 23% reflect a fragmented five-candidate primary led modestly by Christopher Gallant, with no clear frontrunner or recent polls shifting sentiment, as Cook Political rates the seat Solid Republican and Democrats prioritize competitive targets elsewhere. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving probabilities tied to primary results and midterm national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$20,232结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's unopposed path in the June 23 Republican primary, combined with his dominant fundraising—over $3 million cash on hand—positions the Republican Party as trader consensus favorite at 48% in this R+4 district, where he secured 55% in 2024 amid a narrow GOP House majority. Democratic Party odds at 23% reflect a fragmented five-candidate primary led modestly by Christopher Gallant, with no clear frontrunner or recent polls shifting sentiment, as Cook Political rates the seat Solid Republican and Democrats prioritize competitive targets elsewhere. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving probabilities tied to primary results and midterm national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,232结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's unopposed path in the June 23 Republican primary, combined with his dominant fundraising—over $3 million cash on hand—positions the Republican Party as trader consensus favorite at 48% in this R+4 district, where he secured 55% in 2024 amid a narrow GOP House majority. Democratic Party odds at 23% reflect a fragmented five-candidate primary led modestly by Christopher Gallant, with no clear frontrunner or recent polls shifting sentiment, as Cook Political rates the seat Solid Republican and Democrats prioritize competitive targets elsewhere. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving probabilities tied to primary results and midterm national trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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