Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a slight edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting his proven moderation, 56% victory margin in 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $7 million cash-on-hand as of recent FEC reports. The D+1 district remains closely contested ahead of May 19 primaries, where Fitzpatrick faces minimal GOP primary opposition while Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie dominates Democratic primary prediction markets at around 90%, positioning a general election rematch. National Democrats target the seat amid Republicans' slim House majority, but absent new polls and with Cook rating it Likely R, incumbency and resources sustain the 55% GOP implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
38%
共和党
38%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$682 交易量
38%
共和党
$1,022 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a slight edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting his proven moderation, 56% victory margin in 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $7 million cash-on-hand as of recent FEC reports. The D+1 district remains closely contested ahead of May 19 primaries, where Fitzpatrick faces minimal GOP primary opposition while Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie dominates Democratic primary prediction markets at around 90%, positioning a general election rematch. National Democrats target the seat amid Republicans' slim House majority, but absent new polls and with Cook rating it Likely R, incumbency and resources sustain the 55% GOP implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$1,703结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a slight edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting his proven moderation, 56% victory margin in 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $7 million cash-on-hand as of recent FEC reports. The D+1 district remains closely contested ahead of May 19 primaries, where Fitzpatrick faces minimal GOP primary opposition while Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie dominates Democratic primary prediction markets at around 90%, positioning a general election rematch. National Democrats target the seat amid Republicans' slim House majority, but absent new polls and with Cook rating it Likely R, incumbency and resources sustain the 55% GOP implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,703结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a slight edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting his proven moderation, 56% victory margin in 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $7 million cash-on-hand as of recent FEC reports. The D+1 district remains closely contested ahead of May 19 primaries, where Fitzpatrick faces minimal GOP primary opposition while Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie dominates Democratic primary prediction markets at around 90%, positioning a general election rematch. National Democrats target the seat amid Republicans' slim House majority, but absent new polls and with Cook rating it Likely R, incumbency and resources sustain the 55% GOP implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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