Republican traders heavily favor their party's candidate winning Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat (84.5% implied probability) following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais deeming the current map an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Governor Jeff Landry to suspend May 16 primaries. GOP lawmakers advanced a new map in a Senate committee overnight on May 12-13, transforming the previously D+8 district—where incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields won 50.8% in 2024—into a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat, potentially yielding a 5-1 GOP delegation. Fields advances unopposed from the Democratic side, facing Republicans Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams in the November 3 general, though legal challenges or map revisions could introduce uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$56,835 交易量
$56,835 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
12%
$56,835 交易量
$56,835 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$30,466 交易量
86%
民主党
$26,369 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican traders heavily favor their party's candidate winning Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat (84.5% implied probability) following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais deeming the current map an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Governor Jeff Landry to suspend May 16 primaries. GOP lawmakers advanced a new map in a Senate committee overnight on May 12-13, transforming the previously D+8 district—where incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields won 50.8% in 2024—into a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat, potentially yielding a 5-1 GOP delegation. Fields advances unopposed from the Democratic side, facing Republicans Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams in the November 3 general, though legal challenges or map revisions could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$56,835结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican traders heavily favor their party's candidate winning Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat (84.5% implied probability) following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais deeming the current map an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Governor Jeff Landry to suspend May 16 primaries. GOP lawmakers advanced a new map in a Senate committee overnight on May 12-13, transforming the previously D+8 district—where incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields won 50.8% in 2024—into a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat, potentially yielding a 5-1 GOP delegation. Fields advances unopposed from the Democratic side, facing Republicans Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams in the November 3 general, though legal challenges or map revisions could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$56,835结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican traders heavily favor their party's candidate winning Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House seat (84.5% implied probability) following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais deeming the current map an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Governor Jeff Landry to suspend May 16 primaries. GOP lawmakers advanced a new map in a Senate committee overnight on May 12-13, transforming the previously D+8 district—where incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields won 50.8% in 2024—into a strongly Republican Trump +32 seat, potentially yielding a 5-1 GOP delegation. Fields advances unopposed from the Democratic side, facing Republicans Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams in the November 3 general, though legal challenges or map revisions could introduce uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题