Redistricting enacted by Louisiana's Republican-controlled legislature in May 2026 significantly altered the 6th district's boundaries, shifting it from a majority-Black, Democratic-leaning seat held by incumbent Cleo Fields to one with a Republican partisan voting index advantage. Fields subsequently withdrew to pursue a state senate bid, leaving an open seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have entered the race alongside other GOP candidates, while Democratic qualifiers remain limited. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the map's structural impact on turnout and voter composition ahead of the December 2026 general election. Late developments such as a strong Democratic primary performance or unexpected national shifts could still influence the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$65,442 交易量
$65,442 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$65,442 交易量
$65,442 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$36,039 交易量
94%
民主党
$29,403 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted by Louisiana's Republican-controlled legislature in May 2026 significantly altered the 6th district's boundaries, shifting it from a majority-Black, Democratic-leaning seat held by incumbent Cleo Fields to one with a Republican partisan voting index advantage. Fields subsequently withdrew to pursue a state senate bid, leaving an open seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have entered the race alongside other GOP candidates, while Democratic qualifiers remain limited. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the map's structural impact on turnout and voter composition ahead of the December 2026 general election. Late developments such as a strong Democratic primary performance or unexpected national shifts could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$65,442结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted by Louisiana's Republican-controlled legislature in May 2026 significantly altered the 6th district's boundaries, shifting it from a majority-Black, Democratic-leaning seat held by incumbent Cleo Fields to one with a Republican partisan voting index advantage. Fields subsequently withdrew to pursue a state senate bid, leaving an open seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have entered the race alongside other GOP candidates, while Democratic qualifiers remain limited. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the map's structural impact on turnout and voter composition ahead of the December 2026 general election. Late developments such as a strong Democratic primary performance or unexpected national shifts could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$65,442结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting enacted by Louisiana's Republican-controlled legislature in May 2026 significantly altered the 6th district's boundaries, shifting it from a majority-Black, Democratic-leaning seat held by incumbent Cleo Fields to one with a Republican partisan voting index advantage. Fields subsequently withdrew to pursue a state senate bid, leaving an open seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have entered the race alongside other GOP candidates, while Democratic qualifiers remain limited. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the map's structural impact on turnout and voter composition ahead of the December 2026 general election. Late developments such as a strong Democratic primary performance or unexpected national shifts could still influence the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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