Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter benefits from Louisiana’s 2nd District’s consistent Democratic performance in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, where registered voters and historical margins strongly favor the party. Recent candidate qualifying shows multiple Democrats but only marginal Republican and Libertarian entries, limiting opposition. Court rulings on congressional maps have prompted adjustments, yet the core urban composition continues to anchor trader consensus at 96% for Democrats. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or further redistricting that substantially increases suburban or rural Republican-leaning areas could narrow the gap before the November primary and December general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$61,064 交易量
$61,064 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$61,064 交易量
$61,064 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$34,748 交易量
96%
共和党
$26,316 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter benefits from Louisiana’s 2nd District’s consistent Democratic performance in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, where registered voters and historical margins strongly favor the party. Recent candidate qualifying shows multiple Democrats but only marginal Republican and Libertarian entries, limiting opposition. Court rulings on congressional maps have prompted adjustments, yet the core urban composition continues to anchor trader consensus at 96% for Democrats. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or further redistricting that substantially increases suburban or rural Republican-leaning areas could narrow the gap before the November primary and December general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$61,064结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter benefits from Louisiana’s 2nd District’s consistent Democratic performance in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, where registered voters and historical margins strongly favor the party. Recent candidate qualifying shows multiple Democrats but only marginal Republican and Libertarian entries, limiting opposition. Court rulings on congressional maps have prompted adjustments, yet the core urban composition continues to anchor trader consensus at 96% for Democrats. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or further redistricting that substantially increases suburban or rural Republican-leaning areas could narrow the gap before the November primary and December general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$61,064结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter benefits from Louisiana’s 2nd District’s consistent Democratic performance in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, where registered voters and historical margins strongly favor the party. Recent candidate qualifying shows multiple Democrats but only marginal Republican and Libertarian entries, limiting opposition. Court rulings on congressional maps have prompted adjustments, yet the core urban composition continues to anchor trader consensus at 96% for Democrats. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or further redistricting that substantially increases suburban or rural Republican-leaning areas could narrow the gap before the November primary and December general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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