Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter (D) holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI stronghold anchored in Democratic-leaning New Orleans, driving trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Recent announcements of a Democratic primary challenger, Renada Collins, in late April have introduced minor competition, but Carter's fundraising edge and incumbency bolster his path to nomination. No prominent Republican candidate has filed amid the district's historical Democratic dominance, keeping GOP odds at 9.2%. Ongoing redistricting turmoil, including Gov. Landry's executive order suspending House primaries following a Supreme Court ruling against the prior map, adds procedural uncertainty ahead of rescheduled primaries and the November general election, though LA-02's demographics favor Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,625 交易量
$40,625 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
83%
共和党
10%
$40,625 交易量
$40,625 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,941 交易量
83%
共和党
$19,684 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter (D) holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI stronghold anchored in Democratic-leaning New Orleans, driving trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Recent announcements of a Democratic primary challenger, Renada Collins, in late April have introduced minor competition, but Carter's fundraising edge and incumbency bolster his path to nomination. No prominent Republican candidate has filed amid the district's historical Democratic dominance, keeping GOP odds at 9.2%. Ongoing redistricting turmoil, including Gov. Landry's executive order suspending House primaries following a Supreme Court ruling against the prior map, adds procedural uncertainty ahead of rescheduled primaries and the November general election, though LA-02's demographics favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$40,625结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter (D) holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI stronghold anchored in Democratic-leaning New Orleans, driving trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Recent announcements of a Democratic primary challenger, Renada Collins, in late April have introduced minor competition, but Carter's fundraising edge and incumbency bolster his path to nomination. No prominent Republican candidate has filed amid the district's historical Democratic dominance, keeping GOP odds at 9.2%. Ongoing redistricting turmoil, including Gov. Landry's executive order suspending House primaries following a Supreme Court ruling against the prior map, adds procedural uncertainty ahead of rescheduled primaries and the November general election, though LA-02's demographics favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,625结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter (D) holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI stronghold anchored in Democratic-leaning New Orleans, driving trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Recent announcements of a Democratic primary challenger, Renada Collins, in late April have introduced minor competition, but Carter's fundraising edge and incumbency bolster his path to nomination. No prominent Republican candidate has filed amid the district's historical Democratic dominance, keeping GOP odds at 9.2%. Ongoing redistricting turmoil, including Gov. Landry's executive order suspending House primaries following a Supreme Court ruling against the prior map, adds procedural uncertainty ahead of rescheduled primaries and the November general election, though LA-02's demographics favor Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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