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icon for 尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者

尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者

icon for 尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者

尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者

达乌达·拉瓦尔 43%

马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌 27%

哈姆扎·穆萨·麦·布拉乌斯 27%

艾哈迈德·亚胡扎 24%

Polymarket
最新

达乌达·拉瓦尔 43%

马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌 27%

哈姆扎·穆萨·麦·布拉乌斯 27%

艾哈迈德·亚胡扎 24%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 达乌达·拉瓦尔

达乌达·拉瓦尔

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌

马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌

$0 交易量

27%

icon for 哈姆扎·穆萨·麦·布拉乌斯

哈姆扎·穆萨·麦·布拉乌斯

$0 交易量

27%

icon for 艾哈迈德·亚胡扎

艾哈迈德·亚胡扎

$0 交易量

24%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal, the incumbent Zamfara governor who defected from the PDP to the APC in March 2026, has secured consensus endorsement as the APC flagbearer for the 2027 election, with unanimous affirmation votes across all 14 local government areas and backing from former governors including Bello Matawalle. This party realignment and stakeholder unity have concentrated support around Lawal, though internal opposition disputes—such as factionalism and candidate upload controversies in the ADC—have fragmented challengers including Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and others. The crowded field of aspirants across APC, ADC, NDC, and smaller parties, combined with ongoing primary processes and potential INEC timelines, sustains the tight distribution of trader probabilities ahead of the vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2027-02-06
市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal, the incumbent Zamfara governor who defected from the PDP to the APC in March 2026, has secured consensus endorsement as the APC flagbearer for the 2027 election, with unanimous affirmation votes across all 14 local government areas and backing from former governors including Bello Matawalle. This party realignment and stakeholder unity have concentrated support around Lawal, though internal opposition disputes—such as factionalism and candidate upload controversies in the ADC—have fragmented challengers including Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and others. The crowded field of aspirants across APC, ADC, NDC, and smaller parties, combined with ongoing primary processes and potential INEC timelines, sustains the tight distribution of trader probabilities ahead of the vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2027-02-06
市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"达乌达·拉瓦尔",概率为 43%,其次是"马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌",概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 43¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"达乌达·拉瓦尔",概率为 43%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 43%。紧随其后的结果是"马哈迪·阿里尤·古萨乌",概率为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"尼日利亚Zamfara州州长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。