Bola Tinubu's position as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer, confirmed through the party's direct primaries in May 2026, anchors trader sentiment in this market for the January 2027 election. Incumbency, party machinery, and ongoing economic reforms provide structural advantages, while opposition efforts have been hampered by coalition breakdowns in the African Democratic Congress and defections by figures including Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso to the Nigerian Democratic Congress. Multiple parties fielding overlapping aspirants has further fragmented the field. These dynamics explain the wide gap between Tinubu and lower-priced outcomes for challengers such as Obi, Rotimi Amaechi, and others, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing. Upcoming candidate confirmations and primary resolutions could still influence probabilities before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于博拉·蒂努布 70%
彼得·奥比 24%
罗蒂米·阿梅奇 3.8%
拉比乌·夸恩卡索 1.2%
$31,334 交易量
$31,334 交易量
2027-01-16
博拉·蒂努布
70%
彼得·奥比
24%
罗蒂米·阿梅奇
4%
拉比乌·夸恩卡索
1%
奥莫耶莱·索沃雷
1%
博拉·蒂努布 70%
彼得·奥比 24%
罗蒂米·阿梅奇 3.8%
拉比乌·夸恩卡索 1.2%
$31,334 交易量
$31,334 交易量
2027-01-16
博拉·蒂努布
$15,460 交易量
70%
彼得·奥比
$6,434 交易量
24%
罗蒂米·阿梅奇
$3,029 交易量
4%
拉比乌·夸恩卡索
$2,420 交易量
1%
奥莫耶莱·索沃雷
$3,992 交易量
1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu's position as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer, confirmed through the party's direct primaries in May 2026, anchors trader sentiment in this market for the January 2027 election. Incumbency, party machinery, and ongoing economic reforms provide structural advantages, while opposition efforts have been hampered by coalition breakdowns in the African Democratic Congress and defections by figures including Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso to the Nigerian Democratic Congress. Multiple parties fielding overlapping aspirants has further fragmented the field. These dynamics explain the wide gap between Tinubu and lower-priced outcomes for challengers such as Obi, Rotimi Amaechi, and others, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing. Upcoming candidate confirmations and primary resolutions could still influence probabilities before voting.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
交易量
$31,334结束日期
2027-01-16市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu's position as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer, confirmed through the party's direct primaries in May 2026, anchors trader sentiment in this market for the January 2027 election. Incumbency, party machinery, and ongoing economic reforms provide structural advantages, while opposition efforts have been hampered by coalition breakdowns in the African Democratic Congress and defections by figures including Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso to the Nigerian Democratic Congress. Multiple parties fielding overlapping aspirants has further fragmented the field. These dynamics explain the wide gap between Tinubu and lower-priced outcomes for challengers such as Obi, Rotimi Amaechi, and others, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing. Upcoming candidate confirmations and primary resolutions could still influence probabilities before voting.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
交易量
$31,334结束日期
2027-01-16市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bola Tinubu's position as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer, confirmed through the party's direct primaries in May 2026, anchors trader sentiment in this market for the January 2027 election. Incumbency, party machinery, and ongoing economic reforms provide structural advantages, while opposition efforts have been hampered by coalition breakdowns in the African Democratic Congress and defections by figures including Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso to the Nigerian Democratic Congress. Multiple parties fielding overlapping aspirants has further fragmented the field. These dynamics explain the wide gap between Tinubu and lower-priced outcomes for challengers such as Obi, Rotimi Amaechi, and others, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing. Upcoming candidate confirmations and primary resolutions could still influence probabilities before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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