The Republican incumbent in Arizona’s 8th congressional district holds a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and its consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Abraham Hamadeh, first elected in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition on July 21 after ballots were finalized following candidate challenges, while Democrats field multiple contenders including Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Raymond Keeler with no evident path to close the gap in this suburban Phoenix district. Nonpartisan rating firms have classified the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting stable voter registration advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive landscape before the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
18%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,265 交易量
79%
民主党
$2,072 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent in Arizona’s 8th congressional district holds a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and its consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Abraham Hamadeh, first elected in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition on July 21 after ballots were finalized following candidate challenges, while Democrats field multiple contenders including Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Raymond Keeler with no evident path to close the gap in this suburban Phoenix district. Nonpartisan rating firms have classified the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting stable voter registration advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive landscape before the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$3,337结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent in Arizona’s 8th congressional district holds a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and its consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Abraham Hamadeh, first elected in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition on July 21 after ballots were finalized following candidate challenges, while Democrats field multiple contenders including Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Raymond Keeler with no evident path to close the gap in this suburban Phoenix district. Nonpartisan rating firms have classified the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting stable voter registration advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive landscape before the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,337结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican incumbent in Arizona’s 8th congressional district holds a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and its consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Abraham Hamadeh, first elected in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition on July 21 after ballots were finalized following candidate challenges, while Democrats field multiple contenders including Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Raymond Keeler with no evident path to close the gap in this suburban Phoenix district. Nonpartisan rating firms have classified the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting stable voter registration advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive landscape before the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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