Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured the MO-08 nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Christopher Reichard narrowly advanced. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election, consistent with its strong GOP tilt and Smith's prior 76% margin. Trader consensus at 96.2% for Republicans reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and voter patterns in the rural southeast Missouri seat. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown limited late volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,522 交易量
$37,522 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$37,522 交易量
$37,522 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$21,526 交易量
96%
民主党
$15,996 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured the MO-08 nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Christopher Reichard narrowly advanced. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election, consistent with its strong GOP tilt and Smith's prior 76% margin. Trader consensus at 96.2% for Republicans reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and voter patterns in the rural southeast Missouri seat. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown limited late volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$37,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured the MO-08 nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Christopher Reichard narrowly advanced. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election, consistent with its strong GOP tilt and Smith's prior 76% margin. Trader consensus at 96.2% for Republicans reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and voter patterns in the rural southeast Missouri seat. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown limited late volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured the MO-08 nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Christopher Reichard narrowly advanced. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election, consistent with its strong GOP tilt and Smith's prior 76% margin. Trader consensus at 96.2% for Republicans reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and voter patterns in the rural southeast Missouri seat. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown limited late volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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