Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s decision to seek re-election anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP in Michigan’s 4th district at 61.5 percent, reflecting the seat’s R+3 partisan voter index and Huizenga’s double-digit 2024 victory. State Senator Sean McCann’s emergence as the leading Democratic contender, bolstered by national party investment through the Red to Blue program and stronger early fundraising, has narrowed the gap and sustained Democratic odds near 39 percent. Recent polling shows Huizenga holding a modest lead, while race raters classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. With both primaries scheduled for August 4, the outcome hinges on primary consolidation and any shifts in the broader midterm environment before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
62%
民主党
43%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$336 交易量
62%
民主党
$511 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s decision to seek re-election anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP in Michigan’s 4th district at 61.5 percent, reflecting the seat’s R+3 partisan voter index and Huizenga’s double-digit 2024 victory. State Senator Sean McCann’s emergence as the leading Democratic contender, bolstered by national party investment through the Red to Blue program and stronger early fundraising, has narrowed the gap and sustained Democratic odds near 39 percent. Recent polling shows Huizenga holding a modest lead, while race raters classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. With both primaries scheduled for August 4, the outcome hinges on primary consolidation and any shifts in the broader midterm environment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$847结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s decision to seek re-election anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP in Michigan’s 4th district at 61.5 percent, reflecting the seat’s R+3 partisan voter index and Huizenga’s double-digit 2024 victory. State Senator Sean McCann’s emergence as the leading Democratic contender, bolstered by national party investment through the Red to Blue program and stronger early fundraising, has narrowed the gap and sustained Democratic odds near 39 percent. Recent polling shows Huizenga holding a modest lead, while race raters classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. With both primaries scheduled for August 4, the outcome hinges on primary consolidation and any shifts in the broader midterm environment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$847结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s decision to seek re-election anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP in Michigan’s 4th district at 61.5 percent, reflecting the seat’s R+3 partisan voter index and Huizenga’s double-digit 2024 victory. State Senator Sean McCann’s emergence as the leading Democratic contender, bolstered by national party investment through the Red to Blue program and stronger early fundraising, has narrowed the gap and sustained Democratic odds near 39 percent. Recent polling shows Huizenga holding a modest lead, while race raters classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. With both primaries scheduled for August 4, the outcome hinges on primary consolidation and any shifts in the broader midterm environment before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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