**The open SC-01 seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean—Trump carried it in 2020 and 2024—and historical incumbent-free hold patterns in similar battleground areas.** A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates heads to the June 9 vote, where an April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith edging Alex Pelbath at 34%, signaling no dominant frontrunner but strong party infrastructure. Democrats, with contenders like Navy veteran Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford, face steeper path-to-victory amid limited polling and fundraising edges for the GOP; upcoming primary outcomes and early voting trends could shift general election dynamics by November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,515 交易量
$36,515 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
69%
民主党
30%
$36,515 交易量
$36,515 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,605 交易量
69%
民主党
$29,910 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open SC-01 seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean—Trump carried it in 2020 and 2024—and historical incumbent-free hold patterns in similar battleground areas.** A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates heads to the June 9 vote, where an April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith edging Alex Pelbath at 34%, signaling no dominant frontrunner but strong party infrastructure. Democrats, with contenders like Navy veteran Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford, face steeper path-to-victory amid limited polling and fundraising edges for the GOP; upcoming primary outcomes and early voting trends could shift general election dynamics by November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$36,515结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open SC-01 seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean—Trump carried it in 2020 and 2024—and historical incumbent-free hold patterns in similar battleground areas.** A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates heads to the June 9 vote, where an April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith edging Alex Pelbath at 34%, signaling no dominant frontrunner but strong party infrastructure. Democrats, with contenders like Navy veteran Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford, face steeper path-to-victory amid limited polling and fundraising edges for the GOP; upcoming primary outcomes and early voting trends could shift general election dynamics by November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,515结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The open SC-01 seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean—Trump carried it in 2020 and 2024—and historical incumbent-free hold patterns in similar battleground areas.** A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates heads to the June 9 vote, where an April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith edging Alex Pelbath at 34%, signaling no dominant frontrunner but strong party infrastructure. Democrats, with contenders like Navy veteran Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford, face steeper path-to-victory amid limited polling and fundraising edges for the GOP; upcoming primary outcomes and early voting trends could shift general election dynamics by November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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