Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,116 交易量
$19,116 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
$19,116 交易量
$19,116 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$15,174 交易量
92%
共和党
$3,942 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$19,116结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,116结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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