Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's leftward partisan shift and her prior victories. Scholten flipped the seat in 2022 and secured reelection in 2024 by double digits in a district where Kamala Harris outperformed the national average. The Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, reflecting a D+4 partisan voting index and sustained Democratic performance in recent cycles. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a former meteorologist who prevailed in the August 2026 primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended steadily Democratic since 2016. Late developments such as national economic conditions, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or candidate-specific events could narrow the gap, though the current trader consensus reflects the district's established lean and incumbency advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,136 交易量
$19,136 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
$19,136 交易量
$19,136 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$15,194 交易量
92%
共和党
$3,942 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's leftward partisan shift and her prior victories. Scholten flipped the seat in 2022 and secured reelection in 2024 by double digits in a district where Kamala Harris outperformed the national average. The Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, reflecting a D+4 partisan voting index and sustained Democratic performance in recent cycles. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a former meteorologist who prevailed in the August 2026 primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended steadily Democratic since 2016. Late developments such as national economic conditions, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or candidate-specific events could narrow the gap, though the current trader consensus reflects the district's established lean and incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$19,136结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's leftward partisan shift and her prior victories. Scholten flipped the seat in 2022 and secured reelection in 2024 by double digits in a district where Kamala Harris outperformed the national average. The Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, reflecting a D+4 partisan voting index and sustained Democratic performance in recent cycles. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a former meteorologist who prevailed in the August 2026 primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended steadily Democratic since 2016. Late developments such as national economic conditions, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or candidate-specific events could narrow the gap, though the current trader consensus reflects the district's established lean and incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,136结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's leftward partisan shift and her prior victories. Scholten flipped the seat in 2022 and secured reelection in 2024 by double digits in a district where Kamala Harris outperformed the national average. The Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, reflecting a D+4 partisan voting index and sustained Democratic performance in recent cycles. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a former meteorologist who prevailed in the August 2026 primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended steadily Democratic since 2016. Late developments such as national economic conditions, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or candidate-specific events could narrow the gap, though the current trader consensus reflects the district's established lean and incumbency advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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