Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a strong structural edge in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has shifted steadily leftward since 2016. She won reelection by double digits in 2024, and her established fundraising and name recognition continue to shape trader expectations ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing for their nomination, but none has yet emerged with broad statewide support or significant outside spending. No major developments have altered the race in recent weeks, leaving the current probability distribution aligned with the district’s underlying electoral math and historical voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
86%
共和党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$440 交易量
86%
共和党
$163 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a strong structural edge in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has shifted steadily leftward since 2016. She won reelection by double digits in 2024, and her established fundraising and name recognition continue to shape trader expectations ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing for their nomination, but none has yet emerged with broad statewide support or significant outside spending. No major developments have altered the race in recent weeks, leaving the current probability distribution aligned with the district’s underlying electoral math and historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$603结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a strong structural edge in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has shifted steadily leftward since 2016. She won reelection by double digits in 2024, and her established fundraising and name recognition continue to shape trader expectations ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing for their nomination, but none has yet emerged with broad statewide support or significant outside spending. No major developments have altered the race in recent weeks, leaving the current probability distribution aligned with the district’s underlying electoral math and historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$603结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a strong structural edge in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has shifted steadily leftward since 2016. She won reelection by double digits in 2024, and her established fundraising and name recognition continue to shape trader expectations ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing for their nomination, but none has yet emerged with broad statewide support or significant outside spending. No major developments have altered the race in recent weeks, leaving the current probability distribution aligned with the district’s underlying electoral math and historical voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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