Incumbent Republican Riley Moore secured his party's nomination in West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District primary on May 12, solidifying trader consensus at 96.4% for a Republican victory in November's general election against Democratic nominee Ace Parsi. This commanding lead reflects WV-02's deep-red status, where Donald Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles, Moore's incumbency advantage since 2025, and superior fundraising—over $1.2 million raised versus Parsi's lower profile. The district's northern counties prioritize energy jobs and conservative policies, limiting Democratic viability absent national midterms wave or unforeseen Republican scandal like indictment or health issues. No recent polls show competitiveness, with resolution tied to certified general election results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$65,685 交易量
$65,685 交易量
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$65,685 交易量
$65,685 交易量
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Riley Moore secured his party's nomination in West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District primary on May 12, solidifying trader consensus at 96.4% for a Republican victory in November's general election against Democratic nominee Ace Parsi. This commanding lead reflects WV-02's deep-red status, where Donald Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles, Moore's incumbency advantage since 2025, and superior fundraising—over $1.2 million raised versus Parsi's lower profile. The district's northern counties prioritize energy jobs and conservative policies, limiting Democratic viability absent national midterms wave or unforeseen Republican scandal like indictment or health issues. No recent polls show competitiveness, with resolution tied to certified general election results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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