Riley Moore, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Ace Parsi emerged from a competitive three-way contest. West Virginia's 2nd district has long favored Republicans in House races, reflected in consistent Safe or Solid R ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moore's substantial fundraising edge and the district's voting patterns reinforce this positioning. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 95.6% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's historical margins and incumbent advantages. An unforeseen development, such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance, could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$84,777 交易量
$84,777 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
96%
民主党
2%
$84,777 交易量
$84,777 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$56,597 交易量
96%
民主党
$28,181 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Ace Parsi emerged from a competitive three-way contest. West Virginia's 2nd district has long favored Republicans in House races, reflected in consistent Safe or Solid R ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moore's substantial fundraising edge and the district's voting patterns reinforce this positioning. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 95.6% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's historical margins and incumbent advantages. An unforeseen development, such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance, could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$84,777结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Ace Parsi emerged from a competitive three-way contest. West Virginia's 2nd district has long favored Republicans in House races, reflected in consistent Safe or Solid R ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moore's substantial fundraising edge and the district's voting patterns reinforce this positioning. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 95.6% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's historical margins and incumbent advantages. An unforeseen development, such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance, could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$84,777结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Riley Moore, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Ace Parsi emerged from a competitive three-way contest. West Virginia's 2nd district has long favored Republicans in House races, reflected in consistent Safe or Solid R ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moore's substantial fundraising edge and the district's voting patterns reinforce this positioning. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 95.6% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's historical margins and incumbent advantages. An unforeseen development, such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance, could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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