Incumbent Rep. Mark Amodei's February 2026 retirement opened Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a partisan voter index of R+7 and Trump carrying it 56%-42% in 2024. Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 73%, reflecting the district's historical GOP dominance in northern Nevada and strong fundraising by primary frontrunners like David Flippo ($644,000 cash on hand as of late March). Democrats field 11 primary candidates but face steep barriers in this safe Republican stronghold, with odds at 23.5% implying low upset potential absent national wave or primary chaos. June 9 primaries loom as the next catalyst for nominee clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,646 交易量
$13,646 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
73%
民主党
24%
$13,646 交易量
$13,646 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,317 交易量
73%
民主党
$3,329 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark Amodei's February 2026 retirement opened Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a partisan voter index of R+7 and Trump carrying it 56%-42% in 2024. Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 73%, reflecting the district's historical GOP dominance in northern Nevada and strong fundraising by primary frontrunners like David Flippo ($644,000 cash on hand as of late March). Democrats field 11 primary candidates but face steep barriers in this safe Republican stronghold, with odds at 23.5% implying low upset potential absent national wave or primary chaos. June 9 primaries loom as the next catalyst for nominee clarity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$13,646结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark Amodei's February 2026 retirement opened Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a partisan voter index of R+7 and Trump carrying it 56%-42% in 2024. Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 73%, reflecting the district's historical GOP dominance in northern Nevada and strong fundraising by primary frontrunners like David Flippo ($644,000 cash on hand as of late March). Democrats field 11 primary candidates but face steep barriers in this safe Republican stronghold, with odds at 23.5% implying low upset potential absent national wave or primary chaos. June 9 primaries loom as the next catalyst for nominee clarity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,646结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mark Amodei's February 2026 retirement opened Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a partisan voter index of R+7 and Trump carrying it 56%-42% in 2024. Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 73%, reflecting the district's historical GOP dominance in northern Nevada and strong fundraising by primary frontrunners like David Flippo ($644,000 cash on hand as of late March). Democrats field 11 primary candidates but face steep barriers in this safe Republican stronghold, with odds at 23.5% implying low upset potential absent national wave or primary chaos. June 9 primaries loom as the next catalyst for nominee clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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