Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) advanced unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary, solidifying trader consensus at 73% for a GOP hold in Ohio's 10th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (R+4 PVI) and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker won a fragmented primary with just 33% amid low turnout, facing Turner's proven track record of double-digit victories—including 58% in 2024—and massive fundraising edge ($558,000 cash on hand vs. her $34,000 as of mid-April). The suburban district's 2024 presidential margin (Trump 55%-Harris 45%) underscores GOP structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election, with no polls indicating a competitive contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,820 交易量
$17,820 交易量
共和党
74%
民主党
30%
$17,820 交易量
$17,820 交易量
共和党
74%
民主党
30%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) advanced unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary, solidifying trader consensus at 73% for a GOP hold in Ohio's 10th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (R+4 PVI) and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker won a fragmented primary with just 33% amid low turnout, facing Turner's proven track record of double-digit victories—including 58% in 2024—and massive fundraising edge ($558,000 cash on hand vs. her $34,000 as of mid-April). The suburban district's 2024 presidential margin (Trump 55%-Harris 45%) underscores GOP structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election, with no polls indicating a competitive contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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