The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 33rd congressional district, reinforced by 2025-2026 redistricting that concentrated it within Dallas County, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent primary results further solidified this outlook, with Colin Allred defeating Julie Johnson in the May 26 Democratic runoff and Patrick Gillespie securing the Republican nomination. The district's consistent margins in prior statewide races, including a 33-point Harris advantage in 2024, align with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Democratic. While a major late-developing scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically shift dynamics before election day, the structural partisan advantage and candidate positioning leave limited realistic pathways for Republican success.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
民主党
$2,885 交易量
95%
共和党
$6,056 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 33rd congressional district, reinforced by 2025-2026 redistricting that concentrated it within Dallas County, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent primary results further solidified this outlook, with Colin Allred defeating Julie Johnson in the May 26 Democratic runoff and Patrick Gillespie securing the Republican nomination. The district's consistent margins in prior statewide races, including a 33-point Harris advantage in 2024, align with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Democratic. While a major late-developing scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically shift dynamics before election day, the structural partisan advantage and candidate positioning leave limited realistic pathways for Republican success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$8,941结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 33rd congressional district, reinforced by 2025-2026 redistricting that concentrated it within Dallas County, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent primary results further solidified this outlook, with Colin Allred defeating Julie Johnson in the May 26 Democratic runoff and Patrick Gillespie securing the Republican nomination. The district's consistent margins in prior statewide races, including a 33-point Harris advantage in 2024, align with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Democratic. While a major late-developing scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically shift dynamics before election day, the structural partisan advantage and candidate positioning leave limited realistic pathways for Republican success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,941结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 33rd congressional district, reinforced by 2025-2026 redistricting that concentrated it within Dallas County, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent primary results further solidified this outlook, with Colin Allred defeating Julie Johnson in the May 26 Democratic runoff and Patrick Gillespie securing the Republican nomination. The district's consistent margins in prior statewide races, including a 33-point Harris advantage in 2024, align with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Democratic. While a major late-developing scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically shift dynamics before election day, the structural partisan advantage and candidate positioning leave limited realistic pathways for Republican success.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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