Oregon's 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, faces a low-profile primary challenge from Jamil Ahmad on May 19 while Republicans Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek compete in their own contest. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates, including Bonamici's 68.6% share in 2024, stems from its mix of Portland suburbs and coastal areas with longstanding partisan registration patterns. Historical outcomes and nonpartisan ratings such as Solid Democratic underscore the barriers for any Republican advance, though the general election remains months away and subject to broader national shifts that could influence turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,711 交易量
94%
共和党
$90 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, faces a low-profile primary challenge from Jamil Ahmad on May 19 while Republicans Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek compete in their own contest. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates, including Bonamici's 68.6% share in 2024, stems from its mix of Portland suburbs and coastal areas with longstanding partisan registration patterns. Historical outcomes and nonpartisan ratings such as Solid Democratic underscore the barriers for any Republican advance, though the general election remains months away and subject to broader national shifts that could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$2,801结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, faces a low-profile primary challenge from Jamil Ahmad on May 19 while Republicans Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek compete in their own contest. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates, including Bonamici's 68.6% share in 2024, stems from its mix of Portland suburbs and coastal areas with longstanding partisan registration patterns. Historical outcomes and nonpartisan ratings such as Solid Democratic underscore the barriers for any Republican advance, though the general election remains months away and subject to broader national shifts that could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,801结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, faces a low-profile primary challenge from Jamil Ahmad on May 19 while Republicans Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek compete in their own contest. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates, including Bonamici's 68.6% share in 2024, stems from its mix of Portland suburbs and coastal areas with longstanding partisan registration patterns. Historical outcomes and nonpartisan ratings such as Solid Democratic underscore the barriers for any Republican advance, though the general election remains months away and subject to broader national shifts that could influence turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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