Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a seat covering parts of the northern Seattle metro area with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed this advantage, as DelBene advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Mary Silva, who will face her in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including DelBene’s multiple prior re-elections and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,791 交易量
$30,791 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$30,791 交易量
$30,791 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,509 交易量
94%
共和党
$10,282 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a seat covering parts of the northern Seattle metro area with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed this advantage, as DelBene advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Mary Silva, who will face her in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including DelBene’s multiple prior re-elections and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$30,791结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a seat covering parts of the northern Seattle metro area with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed this advantage, as DelBene advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Mary Silva, who will face her in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including DelBene’s multiple prior re-elections and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,791结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a seat covering parts of the northern Seattle metro area with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed this advantage, as DelBene advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Mary Silva, who will face her in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including DelBene’s multiple prior re-elections and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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