Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic Party victory at 60.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting Elaine Luria's strong comeback bid as a leading challenger against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a potential rematch. The district's battleground status—Biden +2 in 2020, Trump +0.2 in 2024—combined with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and robust Luria fundraising have bolstered flip prospects. April's voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, despite court-blocked certification, prompted forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift VA-02 to Leans Democratic. Republican odds trail at 22% amid primary uncertainties and midterm headwinds under a GOP presidency, with filing deadline May 26 and August 4 primaries ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
62%
共和党
32%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$287 交易量
62%
共和党
$513 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic Party victory at 60.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting Elaine Luria's strong comeback bid as a leading challenger against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a potential rematch. The district's battleground status—Biden +2 in 2020, Trump +0.2 in 2024—combined with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and robust Luria fundraising have bolstered flip prospects. April's voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, despite court-blocked certification, prompted forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift VA-02 to Leans Democratic. Republican odds trail at 22% amid primary uncertainties and midterm headwinds under a GOP presidency, with filing deadline May 26 and August 4 primaries ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$800结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic Party victory at 60.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting Elaine Luria's strong comeback bid as a leading challenger against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a potential rematch. The district's battleground status—Biden +2 in 2020, Trump +0.2 in 2024—combined with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and robust Luria fundraising have bolstered flip prospects. April's voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, despite court-blocked certification, prompted forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift VA-02 to Leans Democratic. Republican odds trail at 22% amid primary uncertainties and midterm headwinds under a GOP presidency, with filing deadline May 26 and August 4 primaries ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$800结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic Party victory at 60.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting Elaine Luria's strong comeback bid as a leading challenger against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a potential rematch. The district's battleground status—Biden +2 in 2020, Trump +0.2 in 2024—combined with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and robust Luria fundraising have bolstered flip prospects. April's voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, despite court-blocked certification, prompted forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift VA-02 to Leans Democratic. Republican odds trail at 22% amid primary uncertainties and midterm headwinds under a GOP presidency, with filing deadline May 26 and August 4 primaries ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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