Texas's 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the March 2026 primaries, with Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination after incumbent Chip Roy vacated the race to pursue the state attorney general position. The district's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including strong support for statewide GOP candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook advanced from her primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 2026 general election, keeping implied probabilities aligned with the district's historical voting patterns and open-seat dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$58,715 交易量
$58,715 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$58,715 交易量
$58,715 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$31,433 交易量
87%
民主党
$27,282 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the March 2026 primaries, with Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination after incumbent Chip Roy vacated the race to pursue the state attorney general position. The district's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including strong support for statewide GOP candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook advanced from her primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 2026 general election, keeping implied probabilities aligned with the district's historical voting patterns and open-seat dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$58,715结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the March 2026 primaries, with Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination after incumbent Chip Roy vacated the race to pursue the state attorney general position. The district's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including strong support for statewide GOP candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook advanced from her primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 2026 general election, keeping implied probabilities aligned with the district's historical voting patterns and open-seat dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$58,715结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 21st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the March 2026 primaries, with Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination after incumbent Chip Roy vacated the race to pursue the state attorney general position. The district's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including strong support for statewide GOP candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook advanced from her primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 2026 general election, keeping implied probabilities aligned with the district's historical voting patterns and open-seat dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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