The Texas 21st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent historical results, positions the Republican nominee to hold a decisive edge in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Chip Roy's decision to run for state attorney general opened the seat, drawing a crowded primary field that resolved on March 3 with former Major League Baseball player Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination outright at over 60 percent of the vote amid endorsements from party leadership. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district spanning suburban San Antonio, Austin outskirts, and Hill Country areas. Traders price the Republican outcome at 80.5 percent based on this electoral math and the absence of major shifts since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,694 交易量
$30,694 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
15%
$30,694 交易量
$30,694 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$17,527 交易量
81%
民主党
$13,167 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 21st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent historical results, positions the Republican nominee to hold a decisive edge in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Chip Roy's decision to run for state attorney general opened the seat, drawing a crowded primary field that resolved on March 3 with former Major League Baseball player Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination outright at over 60 percent of the vote amid endorsements from party leadership. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district spanning suburban San Antonio, Austin outskirts, and Hill Country areas. Traders price the Republican outcome at 80.5 percent based on this electoral math and the absence of major shifts since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$30,694结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 21st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent historical results, positions the Republican nominee to hold a decisive edge in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Chip Roy's decision to run for state attorney general opened the seat, drawing a crowded primary field that resolved on March 3 with former Major League Baseball player Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination outright at over 60 percent of the vote amid endorsements from party leadership. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district spanning suburban San Antonio, Austin outskirts, and Hill Country areas. Traders price the Republican outcome at 80.5 percent based on this electoral math and the absence of major shifts since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,694结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 21st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent historical results, positions the Republican nominee to hold a decisive edge in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Chip Roy's decision to run for state attorney general opened the seat, drawing a crowded primary field that resolved on March 3 with former Major League Baseball player Mark Teixeira securing the GOP nomination outright at over 60 percent of the vote amid endorsements from party leadership. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district spanning suburban San Antonio, Austin outskirts, and Hill Country areas. Traders price the Republican outcome at 80.5 percent based on this electoral math and the absence of major shifts since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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