Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's commanding position in the Republican-leaning NJ-02 district drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 69.5%, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, dominant fundraising with $1.35 million cash on hand, and consistent general election wins—58% in 2024 and 59% in 2022 against Democrat Tim Alexander. The district's R+5 partisan voter index, Trump 56%-43% 2024 margin, and GOP registration edge (34% vs. 30% Democrats) reinforce this edge, per Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. A crowded Democratic primary featuring Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder offers no clear frontrunner, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,533 交易量
$12,533 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
27%
$12,533 交易量
$12,533 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,084 交易量
70%
民主党
$6,449 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's commanding position in the Republican-leaning NJ-02 district drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 69.5%, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, dominant fundraising with $1.35 million cash on hand, and consistent general election wins—58% in 2024 and 59% in 2022 against Democrat Tim Alexander. The district's R+5 partisan voter index, Trump 56%-43% 2024 margin, and GOP registration edge (34% vs. 30% Democrats) reinforce this edge, per Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. A crowded Democratic primary featuring Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder offers no clear frontrunner, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$12,533结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's commanding position in the Republican-leaning NJ-02 district drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 69.5%, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, dominant fundraising with $1.35 million cash on hand, and consistent general election wins—58% in 2024 and 59% in 2022 against Democrat Tim Alexander. The district's R+5 partisan voter index, Trump 56%-43% 2024 margin, and GOP registration edge (34% vs. 30% Democrats) reinforce this edge, per Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. A crowded Democratic primary featuring Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder offers no clear frontrunner, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,533结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's commanding position in the Republican-leaning NJ-02 district drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 69.5%, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, dominant fundraising with $1.35 million cash on hand, and consistent general election wins—58% in 2024 and 59% in 2022 against Democrat Tim Alexander. The district's R+5 partisan voter index, Trump 56%-43% 2024 margin, and GOP registration edge (34% vs. 30% Democrats) reinforce this edge, per Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. A crowded Democratic primary featuring Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder offers no clear frontrunner, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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