Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Van Drew’s unopposed primary and consistent general-election performance, including 58 percent support in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s slight Republican registration edge and South Jersey geography have produced reliable margins for the incumbent, reinforced by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. Mullock’s June 2026 primary victory clarified the matchup without shifting expectations, as earlier polling averages and fundraising patterns continue to align with historical base rates for this seat. No major late developments have altered the implied probability in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,186 交易量
$24,186 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
14%
$24,186 交易量
$24,186 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$12,329 交易量
81%
民主党
$11,858 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Van Drew’s unopposed primary and consistent general-election performance, including 58 percent support in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s slight Republican registration edge and South Jersey geography have produced reliable margins for the incumbent, reinforced by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. Mullock’s June 2026 primary victory clarified the matchup without shifting expectations, as earlier polling averages and fundraising patterns continue to align with historical base rates for this seat. No major late developments have altered the implied probability in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$24,186结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Van Drew’s unopposed primary and consistent general-election performance, including 58 percent support in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s slight Republican registration edge and South Jersey geography have produced reliable margins for the incumbent, reinforced by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. Mullock’s June 2026 primary victory clarified the matchup without shifting expectations, as earlier polling averages and fundraising patterns continue to align with historical base rates for this seat. No major late developments have altered the implied probability in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,186结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Van Drew’s unopposed primary and consistent general-election performance, including 58 percent support in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s slight Republican registration edge and South Jersey geography have produced reliable margins for the incumbent, reinforced by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. Mullock’s June 2026 primary victory clarified the matchup without shifting expectations, as earlier polling averages and fundraising patterns continue to align with historical base rates for this seat. No major late developments have altered the implied probability in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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