Incumbent Rep. Kathy Castor's strong fundraising lead, with over $716,000 cash on hand as of late March versus top Republicans under $70,000, underpins trader consensus favoring Democrats at 60.5% to hold Florida's 14th Congressional District despite Gov. Ron DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting signed May 4, which added conservative suburbs like Brandon and Plant City. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections shifted the rating to Lean Republican on May 12 amid GOP challengers like Bea Valenti and Robert Rochford entering the fragmented Republican primary field due August 18. Castor's long tenure since 2006, endorsements from Planned Parenthood and Sierra Club, and ongoing court challenges to the map sustain Democratic edge in the closely contested race ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,674 交易量
$19,674 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
60%
共和党
40%
$19,674 交易量
$19,674 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,517 交易量
60%
共和党
$11,157 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Kathy Castor's strong fundraising lead, with over $716,000 cash on hand as of late March versus top Republicans under $70,000, underpins trader consensus favoring Democrats at 60.5% to hold Florida's 14th Congressional District despite Gov. Ron DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting signed May 4, which added conservative suburbs like Brandon and Plant City. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections shifted the rating to Lean Republican on May 12 amid GOP challengers like Bea Valenti and Robert Rochford entering the fragmented Republican primary field due August 18. Castor's long tenure since 2006, endorsements from Planned Parenthood and Sierra Club, and ongoing court challenges to the map sustain Democratic edge in the closely contested race ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$19,674结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Kathy Castor's strong fundraising lead, with over $716,000 cash on hand as of late March versus top Republicans under $70,000, underpins trader consensus favoring Democrats at 60.5% to hold Florida's 14th Congressional District despite Gov. Ron DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting signed May 4, which added conservative suburbs like Brandon and Plant City. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections shifted the rating to Lean Republican on May 12 amid GOP challengers like Bea Valenti and Robert Rochford entering the fragmented Republican primary field due August 18. Castor's long tenure since 2006, endorsements from Planned Parenthood and Sierra Club, and ongoing court challenges to the map sustain Democratic edge in the closely contested race ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,674结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Kathy Castor's strong fundraising lead, with over $716,000 cash on hand as of late March versus top Republicans under $70,000, underpins trader consensus favoring Democrats at 60.5% to hold Florida's 14th Congressional District despite Gov. Ron DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting signed May 4, which added conservative suburbs like Brandon and Plant City. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections shifted the rating to Lean Republican on May 12 amid GOP challengers like Bea Valenti and Robert Rochford entering the fragmented Republican primary field due August 18. Castor's long tenure since 2006, endorsements from Planned Parenthood and Sierra Club, and ongoing court challenges to the map sustain Democratic edge in the closely contested race ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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