Incumbent Republican Randy Weber's dominant March 3 primary victory, capturing 89% of the vote against a token challenger, has solidified trader consensus at 84% for a GOP hold in Texas's 14th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's strong partisan lean—reflected in Trump's 60.7% to Harris's 37.4% in the 2024 presidential vote and Weber's historical general election margins exceeding 30 points—drives the lopsided odds. Democrats face a May 26 primary runoff between underfunded candidates Richard Davis and Thurman Bartie, with Weber holding over $860,000 cash on hand. No major shifts in the past 30 days; general election set for November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
14%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,509 交易量
84%
民主党
$6,329 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Randy Weber's dominant March 3 primary victory, capturing 89% of the vote against a token challenger, has solidified trader consensus at 84% for a GOP hold in Texas's 14th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's strong partisan lean—reflected in Trump's 60.7% to Harris's 37.4% in the 2024 presidential vote and Weber's historical general election margins exceeding 30 points—drives the lopsided odds. Democrats face a May 26 primary runoff between underfunded candidates Richard Davis and Thurman Bartie, with Weber holding over $860,000 cash on hand. No major shifts in the past 30 days; general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$8,838结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Randy Weber's dominant March 3 primary victory, capturing 89% of the vote against a token challenger, has solidified trader consensus at 84% for a GOP hold in Texas's 14th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's strong partisan lean—reflected in Trump's 60.7% to Harris's 37.4% in the 2024 presidential vote and Weber's historical general election margins exceeding 30 points—drives the lopsided odds. Democrats face a May 26 primary runoff between underfunded candidates Richard Davis and Thurman Bartie, with Weber holding over $860,000 cash on hand. No major shifts in the past 30 days; general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,838结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Randy Weber's dominant March 3 primary victory, capturing 89% of the vote against a token challenger, has solidified trader consensus at 84% for a GOP hold in Texas's 14th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's strong partisan lean—reflected in Trump's 60.7% to Harris's 37.4% in the 2024 presidential vote and Weber's historical general election margins exceeding 30 points—drives the lopsided odds. Democrats face a May 26 primary runoff between underfunded candidates Richard Davis and Thurman Bartie, with Weber holding over $860,000 cash on hand. No major shifts in the past 30 days; general election set for November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题