The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for Arizona governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a key battleground in the 2026 midterms. Rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report, the suburban Phoenix district carries a partisan voting index of R+1 and features competitive primaries scheduled for July. Democratic frontrunner Amish Shah holds a substantial lead in his primary, while the Republican field—led by former state representative Joseph Chaplik and former NFL kicker Jay Feely—remains fragmented with high undecided shares in recent polling. Traders’ 77 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome reflects the district’s narrow historical margins, the retirement of a sitting member, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
69%
共和党
32%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$165 交易量
69%
共和党
$296 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for Arizona governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a key battleground in the 2026 midterms. Rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report, the suburban Phoenix district carries a partisan voting index of R+1 and features competitive primaries scheduled for July. Democratic frontrunner Amish Shah holds a substantial lead in his primary, while the Republican field—led by former state representative Joseph Chaplik and former NFL kicker Jay Feely—remains fragmented with high undecided shares in recent polling. Traders’ 77 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome reflects the district’s narrow historical margins, the retirement of a sitting member, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
交易量
$460结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for Arizona governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a key battleground in the 2026 midterms. Rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report, the suburban Phoenix district carries a partisan voting index of R+1 and features competitive primaries scheduled for July. Democratic frontrunner Amish Shah holds a substantial lead in his primary, while the Republican field—led by former state representative Joseph Chaplik and former NFL kicker Jay Feely—remains fragmented with high undecided shares in recent polling. Traders’ 77 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome reflects the district’s narrow historical margins, the retirement of a sitting member, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$460结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s withdrawal to run for Arizona governor has positioned Arizona’s 1st Congressional District as a key battleground in the 2026 midterms. Rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report, the suburban Phoenix district carries a partisan voting index of R+1 and features competitive primaries scheduled for July. Democratic frontrunner Amish Shah holds a substantial lead in his primary, while the Republican field—led by former state representative Joseph Chaplik and former NFL kicker Jay Feely—remains fragmented with high undecided shares in recent polling. Traders’ 77 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome reflects the district’s narrow historical margins, the retirement of a sitting member, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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