Colorado's 1st Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with no Republican victor since 1971, drives trader consensus to 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, House general election. Long-serving incumbent Diana DeGette seeks a 16th term amid a competitive June 30 Democratic primary against challengers Wanda James and Melat Kiros, following DeGette's narrow ballot qualification at the March district assembly where Kiros outperformed her. Despite primary tensions and recent fundraising by challengers, the district's partisan lean and absence of notable Republican contenders—whose primary field remains undeveloped—cement the commanding position. Late-breaking scandals, a weakened Democratic nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though historical precedents favor the hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,559 交易量
$12,559 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$12,559 交易量
$12,559 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,674 交易量
93%
共和党
$9,885 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colorado's 1st Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with no Republican victor since 1971, drives trader consensus to 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, House general election. Long-serving incumbent Diana DeGette seeks a 16th term amid a competitive June 30 Democratic primary against challengers Wanda James and Melat Kiros, following DeGette's narrow ballot qualification at the March district assembly where Kiros outperformed her. Despite primary tensions and recent fundraising by challengers, the district's partisan lean and absence of notable Republican contenders—whose primary field remains undeveloped—cement the commanding position. Late-breaking scandals, a weakened Democratic nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though historical precedents favor the hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,559结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colorado's 1st Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with no Republican victor since 1971, drives trader consensus to 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, House general election. Long-serving incumbent Diana DeGette seeks a 16th term amid a competitive June 30 Democratic primary against challengers Wanda James and Melat Kiros, following DeGette's narrow ballot qualification at the March district assembly where Kiros outperformed her. Despite primary tensions and recent fundraising by challengers, the district's partisan lean and absence of notable Republican contenders—whose primary field remains undeveloped—cement the commanding position. Late-breaking scandals, a weakened Democratic nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though historical precedents favor the hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,559结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's 1st Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with no Republican victor since 1971, drives trader consensus to 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, House general election. Long-serving incumbent Diana DeGette seeks a 16th term amid a competitive June 30 Democratic primary against challengers Wanda James and Melat Kiros, following DeGette's narrow ballot qualification at the March district assembly where Kiros outperformed her. Despite primary tensions and recent fundraising by challengers, the district's partisan lean and absence of notable Republican contenders—whose primary field remains undeveloped—cement the commanding position. Late-breaking scandals, a weakened Democratic nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though historical precedents favor the hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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