Incumbent Rep. Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary victory on March 3 and the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index heavily favor Republicans at 92.5% trader consensus in the AR-01 House race, reflecting consistent 70%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against underfunded Democrats. Challenger Dr. Terri Yarbrough Green advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but reports no fundraising as of late March, while Crawford holds over $1.1 million cash-on-hand amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the November 3 general election approaching, scenarios like a Crawford scandal, withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this dominance, though structural barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,687 交易量
$18,687 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
6%
$18,687 交易量
$18,687 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,115 交易量
93%
民主党
$7,571 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary victory on March 3 and the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index heavily favor Republicans at 92.5% trader consensus in the AR-01 House race, reflecting consistent 70%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against underfunded Democrats. Challenger Dr. Terri Yarbrough Green advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but reports no fundraising as of late March, while Crawford holds over $1.1 million cash-on-hand amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the November 3 general election approaching, scenarios like a Crawford scandal, withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this dominance, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$18,687结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary victory on March 3 and the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index heavily favor Republicans at 92.5% trader consensus in the AR-01 House race, reflecting consistent 70%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against underfunded Democrats. Challenger Dr. Terri Yarbrough Green advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but reports no fundraising as of late March, while Crawford holds over $1.1 million cash-on-hand amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the November 3 general election approaching, scenarios like a Crawford scandal, withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this dominance, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,687结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary victory on March 3 and the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index heavily favor Republicans at 92.5% trader consensus in the AR-01 House race, reflecting consistent 70%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against underfunded Democrats. Challenger Dr. Terri Yarbrough Green advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but reports no fundraising as of late March, while Crawford holds over $1.1 million cash-on-hand amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the November 3 general election approaching, scenarios like a Crawford scandal, withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this dominance, though structural barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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