The strong Democratic lean of California's 32nd congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for the incumbent, drives the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Brad Sherman, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 66 percent of the vote in 2024, faces a June 2 primary under the state's top-two system against several Democratic challengers, with the general election set for November 3. Forecasters rate the race as safely Democratic based on registration patterns and past results. A late scandal, significant health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican performance could still shift outcomes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,451 交易量
$13,451 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$13,451 交易量
$13,451 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,831 交易量
93%
共和党
$7,620 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 32nd congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for the incumbent, drives the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Brad Sherman, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 66 percent of the vote in 2024, faces a June 2 primary under the state's top-two system against several Democratic challengers, with the general election set for November 3. Forecasters rate the race as safely Democratic based on registration patterns and past results. A late scandal, significant health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican performance could still shift outcomes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$13,451结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 32nd congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for the incumbent, drives the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Brad Sherman, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 66 percent of the vote in 2024, faces a June 2 primary under the state's top-two system against several Democratic challengers, with the general election set for November 3. Forecasters rate the race as safely Democratic based on registration patterns and past results. A late scandal, significant health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican performance could still shift outcomes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,451结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 32nd congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for the incumbent, drives the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Brad Sherman, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 66 percent of the vote in 2024, faces a June 2 primary under the state's top-two system against several Democratic challengers, with the general election set for November 3. Forecasters rate the race as safely Democratic based on registration patterns and past results. A late scandal, significant health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican performance could still shift outcomes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题