The strong Democratic lean of California's 31st congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent redistricting under Proposition 50, drives trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Gil Cisneros benefits from name recognition and fundraising advantages ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where he faces Republican challengers Eric Ching and Erskine Levi. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration patterns and historical margins. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as primary surprises, shifts in national midterm sentiment, or candidate-specific issues before November could still influence outcomes in this Inland Empire contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,528 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,113 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 31st congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent redistricting under Proposition 50, drives trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Gil Cisneros benefits from name recognition and fundraising advantages ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where he faces Republican challengers Eric Ching and Erskine Levi. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration patterns and historical margins. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as primary surprises, shifts in national midterm sentiment, or candidate-specific issues before November could still influence outcomes in this Inland Empire contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$6,642结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 31st congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent redistricting under Proposition 50, drives trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Gil Cisneros benefits from name recognition and fundraising advantages ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where he faces Republican challengers Eric Ching and Erskine Levi. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration patterns and historical margins. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as primary surprises, shifts in national midterm sentiment, or candidate-specific issues before November could still influence outcomes in this Inland Empire contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,642结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 31st congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent redistricting under Proposition 50, drives trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Gil Cisneros benefits from name recognition and fundraising advantages ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where he faces Republican challengers Eric Ching and Erskine Levi. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration patterns and historical margins. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as primary surprises, shifts in national midterm sentiment, or candidate-specific issues before November could still influence outcomes in this Inland Empire contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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