The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid, sustains strong Democratic trader consensus at 96% due to the district's D+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of double-digit Democratic victories, including Stevens' 19-point 2024 win. Competitive Democratic primary features Whitmer-endorsed Jeremy Moss and Polymarket-favored Aisha Farooqi against Republicans Ethan Baker and Anthony Paesano, whose low profiles limit GOP viability in this Oakland County-heavy area. Absent recent catalysts like polls or scandals since April's filing deadline, odds reflect baseline partisan math ahead of August 4 primaries. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise GOP nominee with crossover appeal, Democratic primary fallout, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in battleground Michigan.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$56,087 交易量
$56,087 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$56,087 交易量
$56,087 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$43,902 交易量
96%
共和党
$12,185 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid, sustains strong Democratic trader consensus at 96% due to the district's D+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of double-digit Democratic victories, including Stevens' 19-point 2024 win. Competitive Democratic primary features Whitmer-endorsed Jeremy Moss and Polymarket-favored Aisha Farooqi against Republicans Ethan Baker and Anthony Paesano, whose low profiles limit GOP viability in this Oakland County-heavy area. Absent recent catalysts like polls or scandals since April's filing deadline, odds reflect baseline partisan math ahead of August 4 primaries. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise GOP nominee with crossover appeal, Democratic primary fallout, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in battleground Michigan.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$56,087结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid, sustains strong Democratic trader consensus at 96% due to the district's D+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of double-digit Democratic victories, including Stevens' 19-point 2024 win. Competitive Democratic primary features Whitmer-endorsed Jeremy Moss and Polymarket-favored Aisha Farooqi against Republicans Ethan Baker and Anthony Paesano, whose low profiles limit GOP viability in this Oakland County-heavy area. Absent recent catalysts like polls or scandals since April's filing deadline, odds reflect baseline partisan math ahead of August 4 primaries. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise GOP nominee with crossover appeal, Democratic primary fallout, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in battleground Michigan.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$56,087结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid, sustains strong Democratic trader consensus at 96% due to the district's D+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of double-digit Democratic victories, including Stevens' 19-point 2024 win. Competitive Democratic primary features Whitmer-endorsed Jeremy Moss and Polymarket-favored Aisha Farooqi against Republicans Ethan Baker and Anthony Paesano, whose low profiles limit GOP viability in this Oakland County-heavy area. Absent recent catalysts like polls or scandals since April's filing deadline, odds reflect baseline partisan math ahead of August 4 primaries. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise GOP nominee with crossover appeal, Democratic primary fallout, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in battleground Michigan.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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