Michigan's 11th congressional district, covering central Oakland County suburbs including Troy, Pontiac, and Farmington Hills, features an open seat after incumbent Haley Stevens sought a U.S. Senate nomination. Democrat Jeremy Moss secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with strong support tied to his record as state senate speaker pro tem and prior local offices. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy's mayor, faces a structurally Democratic-leaning electorate where recent House results have favored Democrats by wide margins. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee reflects this partisan baseline, established fundraising edges, and limited competitive polling. A late national shift, turnout surge among Republican voters, or significant candidate-specific development could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$71,074 交易量
$71,074 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$71,074 交易量
$71,074 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$49,052 交易量
94%
共和党
$22,022 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, covering central Oakland County suburbs including Troy, Pontiac, and Farmington Hills, features an open seat after incumbent Haley Stevens sought a U.S. Senate nomination. Democrat Jeremy Moss secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with strong support tied to his record as state senate speaker pro tem and prior local offices. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy's mayor, faces a structurally Democratic-leaning electorate where recent House results have favored Democrats by wide margins. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee reflects this partisan baseline, established fundraising edges, and limited competitive polling. A late national shift, turnout surge among Republican voters, or significant candidate-specific development could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$71,074结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, covering central Oakland County suburbs including Troy, Pontiac, and Farmington Hills, features an open seat after incumbent Haley Stevens sought a U.S. Senate nomination. Democrat Jeremy Moss secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with strong support tied to his record as state senate speaker pro tem and prior local offices. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy's mayor, faces a structurally Democratic-leaning electorate where recent House results have favored Democrats by wide margins. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee reflects this partisan baseline, established fundraising edges, and limited competitive polling. A late national shift, turnout surge among Republican voters, or significant candidate-specific development could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$71,074结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district, covering central Oakland County suburbs including Troy, Pontiac, and Farmington Hills, features an open seat after incumbent Haley Stevens sought a U.S. Senate nomination. Democrat Jeremy Moss secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with strong support tied to his record as state senate speaker pro tem and prior local offices. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy's mayor, faces a structurally Democratic-leaning electorate where recent House results have favored Democrats by wide margins. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee reflects this partisan baseline, established fundraising edges, and limited competitive polling. A late national shift, turnout surge among Republican voters, or significant candidate-specific development could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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