Christina Hines leads in the MI-10 House race at 63.5% implied probability because the open seat—vacated by Republican Rep. John James, who is running for governor—has shifted into toss-up territory after her August primary win. Hines, a former prosecutor and mother, launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing public safety and family costs, prompting one rating shift from lean Republican to toss-up. Limited polling, including an August survey showing a statistical tie, and strong Democratic fundraising support the market pricing. Bouchard, the Republican nominee and Trump-endorsed Army veteran, benefits from name recognition in Macomb and Oakland counties and a modest fundraising edge, but faces headwinds in a district where recent national trends and candidate momentum favor the Democratic challenger heading into November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
克里斯蒂娜·海因斯（民主党）
64%
迈克·布查德（共和党）
38%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
克里斯蒂娜·海因斯（民主党）
$4,788 交易量
64%
迈克·布查德（共和党）
$2,577 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Hines leads in the MI-10 House race at 63.5% implied probability because the open seat—vacated by Republican Rep. John James, who is running for governor—has shifted into toss-up territory after her August primary win. Hines, a former prosecutor and mother, launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing public safety and family costs, prompting one rating shift from lean Republican to toss-up. Limited polling, including an August survey showing a statistical tie, and strong Democratic fundraising support the market pricing. Bouchard, the Republican nominee and Trump-endorsed Army veteran, benefits from name recognition in Macomb and Oakland counties and a modest fundraising edge, but faces headwinds in a district where recent national trends and candidate momentum favor the Democratic challenger heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$7,365结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Hines leads in the MI-10 House race at 63.5% implied probability because the open seat—vacated by Republican Rep. John James, who is running for governor—has shifted into toss-up territory after her August primary win. Hines, a former prosecutor and mother, launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing public safety and family costs, prompting one rating shift from lean Republican to toss-up. Limited polling, including an August survey showing a statistical tie, and strong Democratic fundraising support the market pricing. Bouchard, the Republican nominee and Trump-endorsed Army veteran, benefits from name recognition in Macomb and Oakland counties and a modest fundraising edge, but faces headwinds in a district where recent national trends and candidate momentum favor the Democratic challenger heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,365结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETChristina Hines leads in the MI-10 House race at 63.5% implied probability because the open seat—vacated by Republican Rep. John James, who is running for governor—has shifted into toss-up territory after her August primary win. Hines, a former prosecutor and mother, launched her first television ad in early September emphasizing public safety and family costs, prompting one rating shift from lean Republican to toss-up. Limited polling, including an August survey showing a statistical tie, and strong Democratic fundraising support the market pricing. Bouchard, the Republican nominee and Trump-endorsed Army veteran, benefits from name recognition in Macomb and Oakland counties and a modest fundraising edge, but faces headwinds in a district where recent national trends and candidate momentum favor the Democratic challenger heading into November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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