The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, created by incumbent Republican John James's gubernatorial bid, has driven the Democratic Party to a narrow trader consensus edge at 63.5 percent over the Republican Party at 41.5 percent. This R+3 suburban district in Macomb County features August 4 primaries with a crowded Democratic field led in fundraising by Eric Chung and a fragmented Republican contest headlined by Michael Bouchard. Typical midterm dynamics under a Republican administration often favor opposition gains in battleground House races, aligning with current pricing even as the Cook Political Report rates the seat Lean Republican. Limited polling keeps outcomes sensitive to primary results and general election developments through November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
67%
共和党
32%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$710 交易量
67%
共和党
$225 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, created by incumbent Republican John James's gubernatorial bid, has driven the Democratic Party to a narrow trader consensus edge at 63.5 percent over the Republican Party at 41.5 percent. This R+3 suburban district in Macomb County features August 4 primaries with a crowded Democratic field led in fundraising by Eric Chung and a fragmented Republican contest headlined by Michael Bouchard. Typical midterm dynamics under a Republican administration often favor opposition gains in battleground House races, aligning with current pricing even as the Cook Political Report rates the seat Lean Republican. Limited polling keeps outcomes sensitive to primary results and general election developments through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$935结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, created by incumbent Republican John James's gubernatorial bid, has driven the Democratic Party to a narrow trader consensus edge at 63.5 percent over the Republican Party at 41.5 percent. This R+3 suburban district in Macomb County features August 4 primaries with a crowded Democratic field led in fundraising by Eric Chung and a fragmented Republican contest headlined by Michael Bouchard. Typical midterm dynamics under a Republican administration often favor opposition gains in battleground House races, aligning with current pricing even as the Cook Political Report rates the seat Lean Republican. Limited polling keeps outcomes sensitive to primary results and general election developments through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$935结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, created by incumbent Republican John James's gubernatorial bid, has driven the Democratic Party to a narrow trader consensus edge at 63.5 percent over the Republican Party at 41.5 percent. This R+3 suburban district in Macomb County features August 4 primaries with a crowded Democratic field led in fundraising by Eric Chung and a fragmented Republican contest headlined by Michael Bouchard. Typical midterm dynamics under a Republican administration often favor opposition gains in battleground House races, aligning with current pricing even as the Cook Political Report rates the seat Lean Republican. Limited polling keeps outcomes sensitive to primary results and general election developments through November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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