Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr. holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the challenger’s limited path forward. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Olszewski, who previously served as Baltimore County Executive, secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and won the open seat in 2024. Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a repeat candidate, prevailed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district that encompasses portions of Baltimore and Carroll counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,560 交易量
$16,560 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$16,560 交易量
$16,560 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$12,396 交易量
95%
共和党
$4,165 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr. holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the challenger’s limited path forward. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Olszewski, who previously served as Baltimore County Executive, secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and won the open seat in 2024. Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a repeat candidate, prevailed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district that encompasses portions of Baltimore and Carroll counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$16,560结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr. holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the challenger’s limited path forward. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Olszewski, who previously served as Baltimore County Executive, secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and won the open seat in 2024. Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a repeat candidate, prevailed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district that encompasses portions of Baltimore and Carroll counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,560结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr. holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the challenger’s limited path forward. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Olszewski, who previously served as Baltimore County Executive, secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and won the open seat in 2024. Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a repeat candidate, prevailed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district that encompasses portions of Baltimore and Carroll counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题