Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym advanced unopposed in the May 5 primary for Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+13 seat rated Solid Republican across forecasters, locking in a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Jamee Decio, who defeated Shaun Maeyens 71%-29%. Yakym's prior victories by 28-point margins in 2024 and 32 points in 2022, alongside a fundraising edge ($1.1 million cash on hand versus Decio's $138,000 as of mid-April), drive trader consensus to 90.5% for a GOP hold in the November 3 contest. Upsets remain possible via major scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic midterm wave favoring challengers in safe districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$634 交易量
91%
民主党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym advanced unopposed in the May 5 primary for Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+13 seat rated Solid Republican across forecasters, locking in a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Jamee Decio, who defeated Shaun Maeyens 71%-29%. Yakym's prior victories by 28-point margins in 2024 and 32 points in 2022, alongside a fundraising edge ($1.1 million cash on hand versus Decio's $138,000 as of mid-April), drive trader consensus to 90.5% for a GOP hold in the November 3 contest. Upsets remain possible via major scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic midterm wave favoring challengers in safe districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$634结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym advanced unopposed in the May 5 primary for Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+13 seat rated Solid Republican across forecasters, locking in a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Jamee Decio, who defeated Shaun Maeyens 71%-29%. Yakym's prior victories by 28-point margins in 2024 and 32 points in 2022, alongside a fundraising edge ($1.1 million cash on hand versus Decio's $138,000 as of mid-April), drive trader consensus to 90.5% for a GOP hold in the November 3 contest. Upsets remain possible via major scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic midterm wave favoring challengers in safe districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$634结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym advanced unopposed in the May 5 primary for Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+13 seat rated Solid Republican across forecasters, locking in a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Jamee Decio, who defeated Shaun Maeyens 71%-29%. Yakym's prior victories by 28-point margins in 2024 and 32 points in 2022, alongside a fundraising edge ($1.1 million cash on hand versus Decio's $138,000 as of mid-April), drive trader consensus to 90.5% for a GOP hold in the November 3 contest. Upsets remain possible via major scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic midterm wave favoring challengers in safe districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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