Recent polls place Die Linke at 11–13 percent in Saxony-Anhalt, with the most recent Forschungsgruppe Wahlen survey at 13 percent and Infratest dimap at 11 percent, consistent with the party’s 11 percent result in 2021. The September 6 Landtag election is one week away, and roughly 10–31 percent of voters remain undecided across surveys. Linke’s campaign has centered on education staffing, rural healthcare access, and positioning as a potential toleration partner for a CDU-led minority government, while the CDU maintains its incompatibility resolution. AfD leads at 40–42 percent but is blocked from coalitions by other parties, increasing the salience of smaller-party thresholds. These stable mid-teens figures, combined with limited late-campaign movement and the narrow band separating the 9–12 percent and 12–15 percent market bins, keep trader probabilities closely matched. A final-week turnout surge among left-leaning or anti-AfD voters or a shift among undecideds could push Linke above or below 12 percent before resolution.