Incumbent Ro Khanna secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 62 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Ritesh Tandon in the November general election for California's 17th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 67 percent for Democrats underpin the current trader consensus of a 95 percent probability for the Democratic outcome. Tandon advanced with roughly 15 percent in the primary, reflecting limited support in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced large margins in prior cycles. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout anomalies far outside historical norms for this safely Democratic district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,768 交易量
$12,768 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$12,768 交易量
$12,768 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,272 交易量
95%
共和党
$2,495 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ro Khanna secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 62 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Ritesh Tandon in the November general election for California's 17th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 67 percent for Democrats underpin the current trader consensus of a 95 percent probability for the Democratic outcome. Tandon advanced with roughly 15 percent in the primary, reflecting limited support in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced large margins in prior cycles. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout anomalies far outside historical norms for this safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$12,768结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ro Khanna secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 62 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Ritesh Tandon in the November general election for California's 17th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 67 percent for Democrats underpin the current trader consensus of a 95 percent probability for the Democratic outcome. Tandon advanced with roughly 15 percent in the primary, reflecting limited support in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced large margins in prior cycles. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout anomalies far outside historical norms for this safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,768结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ro Khanna secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 62 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Ritesh Tandon in the November general election for California's 17th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 67 percent for Democrats underpin the current trader consensus of a 95 percent probability for the Democratic outcome. Tandon advanced with roughly 15 percent in the primary, reflecting limited support in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced large margins in prior cycles. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout anomalies far outside historical norms for this safely Democratic district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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