Incumbent Ro Khanna's dominant position in solidly Democratic CA-17 (Cook PVI D+21) drives trader consensus toward a 96% implied probability of Democratic Party victory in the November general election. Khanna holds a massive fundraising edge with over $16 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challengers Ethan Agarwal and Mike Katz, as well as Republicans Jennie Ha Phan and Ritesh Tandon. The district's heavy Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024—mirrors Khanna's prior 68% reelection margin. With the June 2 top-two primary imminent and early voting underway since May 4, traders anticipate Khanna advancing alongside a low-funded Republican, ensuring a safe hold absent a scandal, withdrawal, or unprecedented midterm wave flipping the Bay Area battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,230 交易量
96%
共和党
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ro Khanna's dominant position in solidly Democratic CA-17 (Cook PVI D+21) drives trader consensus toward a 96% implied probability of Democratic Party victory in the November general election. Khanna holds a massive fundraising edge with over $16 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challengers Ethan Agarwal and Mike Katz, as well as Republicans Jennie Ha Phan and Ritesh Tandon. The district's heavy Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024—mirrors Khanna's prior 68% reelection margin. With the June 2 top-two primary imminent and early voting underway since May 4, traders anticipate Khanna advancing alongside a low-funded Republican, ensuring a safe hold absent a scandal, withdrawal, or unprecedented midterm wave flipping the Bay Area battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$7,230结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ro Khanna's dominant position in solidly Democratic CA-17 (Cook PVI D+21) drives trader consensus toward a 96% implied probability of Democratic Party victory in the November general election. Khanna holds a massive fundraising edge with over $16 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challengers Ethan Agarwal and Mike Katz, as well as Republicans Jennie Ha Phan and Ritesh Tandon. The district's heavy Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024—mirrors Khanna's prior 68% reelection margin. With the June 2 top-two primary imminent and early voting underway since May 4, traders anticipate Khanna advancing alongside a low-funded Republican, ensuring a safe hold absent a scandal, withdrawal, or unprecedented midterm wave flipping the Bay Area battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,230结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ro Khanna's dominant position in solidly Democratic CA-17 (Cook PVI D+21) drives trader consensus toward a 96% implied probability of Democratic Party victory in the November general election. Khanna holds a massive fundraising edge with over $16 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challengers Ethan Agarwal and Mike Katz, as well as Republicans Jennie Ha Phan and Ritesh Tandon. The district's heavy Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024—mirrors Khanna's prior 68% reelection margin. With the June 2 top-two primary imminent and early voting underway since May 4, traders anticipate Khanna advancing alongside a low-funded Republican, ensuring a safe hold absent a scandal, withdrawal, or unprecedented midterm wave flipping the Bay Area battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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